Commodities January 29, 2026

Gold Falls Sharply on Rumors of a More Hawkish Fed Nominee; Still Poised for Biggest Monthly Gain Since 1980

Markets react to reports on potential Fed chair pick as precious metals retrace after record highs

By Avery Klein
Gold Falls Sharply on Rumors of a More Hawkish Fed Nominee; Still Poised for Biggest Monthly Gain Since 1980

Gold tumbled on Friday amid reports that the next Federal Reserve chair could take a tougher stance on policy, and as the dollar bounced back from multi-year lows. Despite the drop, bullion is on track for its most powerful monthly advance since January 1980 after a run of record and near-record highs earlier in the week. Other precious metals also saw volatile moves, with silver, platinum and palladium all pulling back or swinging sharply following recent peaks.

Key Points

  • Spot gold fell 3.9% to $5,183.21 per ounce as of 0323 GMT on Friday after intra-session declines of up to 5%.
  • Gold hit a record $5,594.82 on Thursday and is up more than 20% in January, set for its biggest monthly rise since January 1980 and a sixth straight monthly gain.
  • Dollar strength, reports of a potentially more hawkish Fed chair pick and overbought market conditions were cited as drivers of the pullback; U.S. President Donald Trump said he intends to announce his pick to replace Jerome Powell on Friday.

Gold prices plunged more than 4% on Friday after market chatter suggested the incoming Federal Reserve chair could pursue a more hawkish policy stance. Still, bullion remains on course for a dramatic monthly gain - its largest since January 1980 - as investors continue to seek safety amid ongoing geopolitical and economic tensions.

Price moves and records

Spot gold was down 3.9% at $5,183.21 per ounce as of 0323 GMT, after earlier falling as much as 5%. The metal had climbed to a record $5,594.82 on Thursday. Through January, prices have risen more than 20%, putting gold on track for a sixth consecutive monthly increase and the biggest monthly advance since January 1980. U.S. gold futures for February delivery fell 2.7% to $5,176.40 per ounce on Friday.

Drivers cited by market participants

Market analysts pointed to a combination of factors behind Friday’s pullback. KCM Chief Trade Analyst Tim Waterer said a potential less dovish Fed chair pick, a rebound in the dollar and the market having become overbought all contributed to the decline in gold’s price.

Adding to the speculation, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday he intends to announce his pick to replace Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Friday, as debate heightened over leadership of the U.S. central bank ahead of Powell stepping aside in May. Rumors naming Kevin Warsh as a possible replacement were reported to have weighed on gold during Asian trading, according to Matt Simpson, a senior analyst at StoneX.

The dollar recovered from multi-year lows, helped in part by the Fed’s decision on Wednesday to leave interest rates unchanged. Even with the bounce, the dollar was poised for a second straight weekly decline. A stronger dollar tends to make gold, priced in U.S. dollars, more expensive for overseas buyers. Markets still expect two interest rate cuts in 2026.

Flows and related market activity

Customs data released on Thursday showed gold exports from Switzerland to the United Kingdom - home to the world’s largest over-the-counter gold trading hub - jumped to their highest levels since August 2019. In Asia, the Hang Seng Gold ETF surged more than 9% on its trading debut in Hong Kong in the previous session, illustrating robust demand despite Friday’s retreat.

Other precious metals

Silver fell sharply as well, with spot silver down 5.7% to $109.55 an ounce after reaching a record $121.64 on Thursday. The metal has surged 56% so far this month, on course for its best-ever monthly performance. Spot platinum lost 5.3% to $2,489.31 per ounce after hitting an all-time high of $2,918.80 on Monday, while palladium rose 5.8% to $1,890.25.


Conclusion

Friday’s selling underscores how quickly recent sharp gains in precious metals can reverse when expectations about U.S. monetary policy appear to shift. While bullion remains substantially higher month-to-date, traders are reacting to evolving signals about Fed leadership, currency moves and positioning that had built up through a series of record highs earlier in the week.

Risks

  • Uncertainty over the Federal Reserve chair selection and associated policy stance - impacts currencies, bond yields and dollar-priced commodities.
  • Volatility in the dollar - a stronger greenback can make precious metals more expensive for overseas buyers and pressure demand.
  • Concentrated flows into gold trading hubs and ETFs - rapid inflows or reversals can amplify price swings in bullion and related markets.

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