Commodities January 26, 2026

Gold Climbs Above $5,000/oz as Trade Frictions and Geopolitical Strains Support Safe-Haven Demand

Market caution ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting and fresh tariff threats keep investors leaning into precious metals

By Jordan Park
Gold Climbs Above $5,000/oz as Trade Frictions and Geopolitical Strains Support Safe-Haven Demand

Gold prices held firm in early Asian trading after posting consecutive record highs amid renewed safe-haven buying linked to U.S. trade policy threats and rising tensions in the Middle East. Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will hold rates steady this week contributed to a broadly risk-averse tone across markets, supporting demand for bullion and other precious metals.

Key Points

  • Spot gold was trading at $5,040.74/oz by 19:40 ET (00:40 GMT), while April futures were at $5,072.86/oz and spot gold hit $5,111.11/oz on Monday.
  • Silver and platinum also rose, with spot silver at $107.1735/oz and spot platinum at $2,621.21/oz, reflecting broader safe-haven demand.
  • Investors were risk averse ahead of a U.S. Federal Reserve meeting expected to leave interest rates unchanged, and reacted to U.S. tariff threats and heightened tensions in the Middle East.

Gold remained elevated in early Asian trading on Tuesday following a run of record highs driven by concerns around U.S. trade policy and heightened geopolitical tensions worldwide. Investors continued to favour safe-haven assets as markets awaited a scheduled U.S. Federal Reserve meeting this week, with the central bank widely expected to keep policy rates unchanged on Wednesday.

By 19:40 ET (00:40 GMT), spot gold was steady at $5,040.74 an ounce. April gold futures eased about 1% to $5,072.86/oz. The metal reached an intraday record of $5,111.11/oz on Monday, underscoring recent volatility and investor appetite for protection amidst policy uncertainty.

Other precious metals advanced alongside gold. Spot silver was trading higher by roughly 3.2% at $107.1735/oz, while spot platinum rose about 1.4% to $2,621.21/oz. These moves reflected a broader shift toward metals typically perceived as havens during periods of elevated geopolitical and economic risk.

Safe-haven flows into precious metals accelerated after the U.S. president threatened trade tariffs against several allies, most notably signaling what amounted to an effective trade embargo on Canada. The president objected to a proposed trade arrangement between Canada and China and warned of 100% tariffs on Ottawa.

Additional tariff threats included a stated plan to raise tariffs on South Korean goods to 25%, citing delays by Seoul in implementing a recent trade deal. While the president scaled back some of his other demands, including tone downed rhetoric regarding Greenland and tariff threats on Europe, markets remained sensitive to any new policy escalations.

Geopolitical tensions in Iran and the broader Middle East also contributed to market unease, as the presence of U.S. naval vessels in the region was noted as an additional source of concern. Together, these trade and security developments kept investor risk appetite muted and underpinned demand for precious metals.

With the Federal Reserve meeting looming and geopolitical headlines continuing to influence sentiment, market participants remained alert to further shifts that could affect the trajectory of gold and related assets.

Risks

  • Further escalation of trade actions - including threats of steep tariffs on key trading partners - could sustain market volatility and continued safe-haven flows, impacting precious metals and broader financial markets.
  • Growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, underscored by the movement of U.S. naval forces into the region, may prolong risk-off investor behaviour and affect commodity and currency markets.
  • Policy uncertainty around the timing and outcome of the Federal Reserve meeting could keep investors cautious, influencing liquidity and price moves in metals and other risk-sensitive assets.

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