Analyst Ratings January 22, 2026

UBS Maintains Optimistic Rating on Smithfield Foods Following Nathan’s Famous Acquisition

Strategic Acquisition Expected to Enhance Packaged Meats Segment Growth and Operational Efficiencies

By Ajmal Hussain SFD
UBS Maintains Optimistic Rating on Smithfield Foods Following Nathan’s Famous Acquisition
SFD

UBS has reaffirmed its Buy rating and $28.50 price target on Smithfield Foods after the company announced an all-cash deal to acquire Nathan’s Famous for around $450 million. The transaction aligns with Smithfield's targeted expansion in the Packaged Meats sector, supported by a stable financial framework and expected cost synergies. The acquisition is set to close in the first half of 2026, potentially boosting production capacity and securing brand control.

Key Points

  • UBS maintains a Buy rating with a $28.50 price target on Smithfield Foods following the $450 million acquisition announcement of Nathan’s Famous.
  • The acquisition is set to close in early 2026, with projected annual cost synergies of about $9 million by mid-2028, supporting expansion in the Packaged Meats segment.
  • Recent Smithfield earnings showed notable improvement driven by strong sales and enhanced hog production profitability, emphasizing operational effectiveness.

UBS recently upheld its Buy recommendation for Smithfield Foods (NASDAQ:SFD) and confirmed a price target of $28.50 subsequent to Smithfield's announcement to acquire Nathan’s Famous through a fully funded cash transaction approximated at $450 million. As of now, Smithfield's shares are trading at $23.33, which, according to InvestingPro Fair Value calculations, signifies an undervalued position relative to its market worth. This valuation is also supported by a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.65 and an attractive dividend yield of 4.33%.

The transaction is anticipated to finalize in the first half of 2026. UBS highlights that following integration, Smithfield anticipates realizing annual cost savings near $9 million by the midpoint of 2028. This acquisition strategy fits well within Smithfield’s previously communicated opportunistic approach to mergers and acquisitions, especially in its objective to expand its footprint in the Packaged Meats segment.

Smithfield's current financial health bolsters its ability to pursue acquisitions, underpinned by moderate leverage and sufficient operating cash flows to comfortably cover interest obligations, as indicated by InvestingPro data. Importantly, the Nathan’s Famous brand’s established reputation presents a strategic marketing advantage, allowing Smithfield to manage brand operations directly, particularly valuable given the license agreement’s expiration in 2032, which otherwise could have led to uncertainties or changes.

Currently, Nathan’s products are manufactured in just two Smithfield facilities. UBS suggests this capacity may expand in the near future, either through increased capital investments or further strategic acquisitions reminiscent of Smithfield’s recent procurement of a dry sausage production plant from Cargill’s Nashville operation aimed at capacity augmentation. With a market capitalization standing at $9.08 billion and a consensus among analysts forecasting sustained profitability, Smithfield presents a well-positioned profile despite facing pressures from relatively low gross profit margins.

Adding to these strategic developments, Smithfield Foods reported a significant rise in third-quarter earnings recently. This increase was driven by robust sales performance coupled with enhanced profitability in hog production. While the company refrained from announcing any new mergers or acquisitions concurrently, the strong earnings report underlines Smithfield’s aptitude in capitalizing on market dynamics to improve financial outcomes. Though no explicit analyst rating adjustments were noted, these financial results could shape forthcoming evaluations. This performance underscores the pivotal role of sales momentum and production efficiency in elevating the company’s overall profitability, factors of interest to investors monitoring Smithfield’s financial standing and competitive posture.

This article was produced with the assistance of artificial intelligence technology and examined by an editorial team to ensure accuracy and completeness. For further details, readers may refer to applicable terms and conditions.

Risks

  • Completion of the Nathan’s Famous acquisition is expected by the first half of 2026, and possible delays could impact projected synergies and strategy implementation.
  • Gross profit margins remain relatively weak for Smithfield Foods, which may affect overall profitability despite recent earnings growth.
  • Current production capacity for Nathan’s products is limited to two Smithfield facilities; expansion plans depend on capital expenditure or further acquisitions, which carry integration and execution risks.

More from Analyst Ratings

KeyBanc Keeps Cautious View on LyondellBasell After Difficult Quarter, Cites Cash-Flow Limits vs. Dividend Feb 2, 2026 KeyBanc Sticks with Overweight on Murphy USA, Sees Near-Term Upside as Fuel Margins Improve Feb 2, 2026 KeyBanc Stands by Overweight Call on AppFolio, Flags ARPU and Product Drivers for 2026 Feb 2, 2026 KeyBanc Sticks With Overweight on Eastman; $74 Target Reflects Modest Upside Feb 2, 2026 Bernstein Boosts SanDisk Price Target to $1,000 After Robust Q2; Peers Follow Suit Feb 2, 2026