Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

Truist Securities Increases Booz Allen Hamilton Price Target Citing Strategic Growth and Cost Efficiencies

Despite robust earnings per share, revenue challenges and civil spending cuts temper outlook

By Marcus Reed BAH
Truist Securities Increases Booz Allen Hamilton Price Target Citing Strategic Growth and Cost Efficiencies
BAH

Truist Securities has raised its price target for Booz Allen Hamilton (NYSE:BAH) from $90.00 to $98.00 while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. The firm's decision reflects anticipated tax advantages, earnings improvements by the 2027/2028 fiscal year, and sector growth driven by defense-related expenditures. Booz Allen Hamilton recently surpassed earnings per share expectations but experienced a revenue decline. Concerns remain about prospective cuts in civil spending possibly affecting parts of the company's business.

Key Points

  • Truist Securities has boosted Booz Allen Hamilton’s price target to $98, citing tax benefits and cost savings as primary influences on the upward revision.
  • Booz Allen Hamilton's earnings per share significantly surpassed expectations in Q3 FY2026, while revenues declined year-over-year by 10%.
  • Future expansions in defense spending and increased budget authority in cyber and national security sectors underpin forecasted company growth, despite concerns over civil spending cuts.

Truist Securities updated its forecast on Booz Allen Hamilton, lifting the stock’s price target to $98.00 from the prior $90.00, yet continuing to rate the stock as Hold. Currently, BAH trades at $102.23, which is above Truist's revised price target. Comprehensive analysis from InvestingPro suggests that Booz Allen Hamilton’s shares might still be undervalued when considering a Fair Value measurement.

The increase in price target is supported primarily by Truist's identification of benefits arising from tax-related tailwinds and anticipated cost reductions. These factors have also driven the firm’s elevation of Booz Allen Hamilton’s earnings per share projections looking toward fiscal years 2027 and 2028. Data from InvestingPro reflects that BAH retains a solid financial footing, denoted by an overall "GOOD" health score, notwithstanding expectations for a possible net income decrease during the current year.

Truist Securities underscores potential growth opportunities linked to forecasts of expanded Defense spending and additional Open Budget Baseline Budget Authority (OBBBA) funding. The firm's evaluation highlights Booz Allen Hamilton's involvement across cyber security, defense technology innovations, and national security projects as key avenues for benefiting from macroscale defense budget trends.

Despite these favorable elements, the Hold rating remains unchanged, indicating a view that upside potential at current stock price levels may be limited. Additionally, concerns have been expressed about the likelihood of cuts in civil government spending over the upcoming years, which could impact specific business segments within Booz Allen Hamilton.

Recent quarterly financial results from Booz Allen Hamilton reveal a mixed performance. In Q3 of fiscal 2026, the company reported earnings per share of $1.77, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.29 by 37.21%. Conversely, revenue figures undershot projections, recording $2.6 billion versus an anticipated $2.76 billion, marking a 10% decrease year-over-year. The earnings surprise implies strong operational efficiency or effective cost controls, although the top-line shortfall highlights challenges in revenue growth.

These financial results and the updated guidance by Truist Securities are critical for investors monitoring Booz Allen Hamilton’s positioning amid evolving government budget allocations and sector-specific dynamics in defense and security markets.

Risks

  • Projected cuts in civil government spending may negatively impact certain segments of Booz Allen Hamilton’s operations.
  • Revenue underperformance relative to analyst expectations introduces uncertainty regarding sustained top-line growth.
  • Net income is anticipated to decline in the current year, suggesting potential near-term earnings pressure.

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