Analyst Ratings January 30, 2026

Truist Lifts Lockheed Martin Price Target to $695, Cites MFC Strength

Buy rating retained after Q4 2025 beat; backlog and cash generation noted despite margin pressure

By Avery Klein LMT
Truist Lifts Lockheed Martin Price Target to $695, Cites MFC Strength
LMT

Truist Securities raised its price objective for Lockheed Martin to $695 from $605 while keeping a Buy rating, following the company’s fourth-quarter 2025 results. The research firm pointed to robust growth in the Missiles and Fire Control segment, record backlog levels and improving cash generation as key drivers for the higher target, even as overall gross profit margins remain weak.

Key Points

  • Truist Securities raised Lockheed Martin’s price target to $695 from $605 and retained a Buy rating; shares were trading at $631.64, about 1% below a 52-week high of $645.67 - impacts equity investors and defense sector sentiment.
  • MFC segment expected to grow 14% year-over-year at the midpoint of guidance, contributing materially to the more bullish outlook - impacts missiles and defense systems markets.
  • Record backlog and improving cash generation were cited by Truist despite increased R&D and capital expenditures; management signaled available resources for potential M&A - impacts corporate finance and M&A activity within aerospace and defense.

Truist Securities has increased its 12-month price target for Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) to $695.00, up from $605.00, and maintained a Buy rating on the defense contractor’s stock. At the time of the update, the share price stood at $631.64, about 1% below its 52-week high of $645.67, according to InvestingPro data.

The analyst upgrade follows Lockheed Martin’s fourth-quarter 2025 financial report. Truist highlighted particularly strong momentum in the company’s Missiles and Fire Control - MFC - segment, which is projected to grow 14% year-over-year at the midpoint of guided ranges. That segment growth was a central factor in the firm’s decision to raise its target.

On a trailing twelve-month basis, Lockheed reported revenue of $75.05 billion, representing 5.64% growth over the comparable period. However, InvestingPro data also shows that the company has relatively weak gross profit margins, measured at 10.15%.


Truist noted that Lockheed Martin’s backlog has climbed to record levels, driven by broad-based global demand, and the research firm expects backlog to continue rising year-over-year in 2026. Alongside backlog strength, Truist pointed to improving cash generation even as the company increases research and development spending and capital expenditures.

Management has indicated that financial resources exist to pursue potential mergers and acquisitions, according to Truist’s write-up. The research house identified Lockheed Martin as its preferred large-cap investment within the defense sector and cited additional growth opportunities from the Golden Dome program and expansion within the unmanned systems market.


Lockheed Martin’s reported fourth-quarter 2025 results showed an earnings-per-share outcome of $5.80, slightly above the analyst consensus of $5.75, representing a positive surprise of roughly 0.87%. The company also posted quarterly revenue of $20.3 billion, exceeding the anticipated $19.85 billion. Those results were emphasized as evidence of the company’s solid quarter.

While the earnings beat and revenue outperformance were focal points for analysts and investors, Truist’s target revision rests on a combination of segment-level growth, record backlog, and signs of improving cash generation despite elevated R&D and capital spending. Market participants will likely continue to watch quarterly results and guidance for confirmation of these trends.

Risks

  • Relatively weak gross profit margins of 10.15% may constrain profitability if not improved - relevant to Lockheed Martin’s operational performance and investor returns.
  • Rising research and development spending and higher capital expenditures could pressure free cash flow if the expected improvements in cash generation do not materialize - relevant to corporate finance and capital markets.
  • Future growth relies in part on continued backlog expansion; any reversal in order momentum could affect revenue visibility for 2026 - relevant to the defense contracting sector and government procurement cycles.

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