Analyst Ratings January 27, 2026

Texas Capital Securities Starts Coverage on Oklo, Assigns $138 Target Citing Aurora Reactor Potential

Analyst labels Oklo a premier play on advanced nuclear tech while market valuation and profitability remain points of caution

By Sofia Navarro OKLO META
Texas Capital Securities Starts Coverage on Oklo, Assigns $138 Target Citing Aurora Reactor Potential
OKLO META

Texas Capital Securities opened coverage of Oklo (NYSE:OKLO) with a Buy rating and a $138.00 price target. The firm highlights Oklo's Aurora sodium-cooled fast neutron reactor and complementary technologies as the core investment thesis. Market data show a sizable market capitalization but negative trailing earnings, and InvestingPro flags potential overvaluation versus Fair Value.

Key Points

  • Texas Capital Securities begins coverage of Oklo with a Buy rating and a $138.00 price target, implying notable upside from the cited $85.27 share price.
  • Oklo's Aurora sodium-cooled fast neutron reactor is highlighted for walk-away safety, high efficiency, colocated deployment potential, and the ability to utilize legacy spent nuclear fuel.
  • Recent partnerships and agreements include a binding deal with Meta to develop a phased 1.2 GW advanced nuclear campus with customer prepayments, and a U.S. Department of Energy radioisotope pilot plant to be operated by Atomic Alchemy Inc.

Texas Capital Securities has initiated coverage of Oklo (NYSE:OKLO) with a Buy recommendation and set a price objective of $138.00, according to the firm's research released on Tuesday. That target implies a material upside from the stock's most recently noted market price of $85.27, though InvestingPro information indicates the share price may exceed the platform's Fair Value estimate.

The firm frames Oklo as a leading avenue for investors bullish on advanced nuclear solutions, centering its view on the company's Aurora reactor architecture. Aurora is described as a sodium-cooled fast neutron reactor that draws on technical knowledge accumulated from the Experimental Breeder Reactor-II. Texas Capital cites several design advantages for Aurora, including walk-away safety features, high-efficiency power output, the ability to colocate generation with concentrated demand centers, and a potential pathway to repurpose legacy spent nuclear fuel as an energy source.

From a financial perspective, InvestingPro data show Oklo carries a market capitalization of $13.37 billion. The company is not currently profitable on a trailing-twelve-month basis, with a negative EPS of -$0.58. InvestingPro also flags Oklo's historical pattern of high price volatility, a trait the research note says investors should weigh alongside Oklo's balance-sheet posture, which the firm characterizes as having more cash than debt.

Beyond its core reactor program, Oklo is advancing related nuclear capabilities. The firm is developing fuel reprocessing technology and radioisotope production, the latter work being pursued through its Atomic Alchemy subsidiary. Texas Capital views this ecosystem of products and services as complementary to the reactor business and potentially accretive to the company's value over time.

Texas Capital's initiation presents Oklo as a relatively well-understood advanced reactor design with projected economics that the firm expects to compete with other firm generation sources. The research note describes a synergistic business model that could create additional commercial avenues as development progresses.


Recent commercial and government developments

Oklo has recently been involved in several significant commercial and governmental agreements. The company announced a binding deal with Meta to develop a phased 1.2 GW advanced nuclear campus; that arrangement includes customer prepayments intended to help finance early-stage development. The Meta agreement has prompted divergent analyst responses: BofA Securities upgraded Oklo from Neutral to Buy and raised its price target to $127.00, while UBS retained a Neutral rating with a $95.00 target and stressed the long-term timeline for the project. Wedbush reiterated an Outperform rating with a $150.00 price target and flagged Oklo's role in Meta's broader ambitions to deploy up to 6.6 gigawatts of new nuclear energy projects.

On the government front, Oklo reached an agreement with the U.S. Department of Energy to support a radioisotope pilot plant. That pilot facility will be operated by Oklo's Atomic Alchemy Inc., marking a movement from planning toward active execution under DOE authorization.

Collectively, the analyst initiation, strategic commercial partnerships, and the DOE arrangement illustrate Oklo's expanding footprint within the advanced nuclear sector while also highlighting the mixed signals investors face when balancing technical promise, financing structures such as customer prepayments, and current profitability metrics.

Risks

  • Oklo is not currently profitable on a trailing-twelve-month basis (EPS -$0.58), which presents financial performance risk for equity investors - this affects technology and energy sectors tied to capital-intensive development.
  • InvestingPro notes high historical price volatility and indications the stock may trade above its Fair Value assessment, posing valuation and market-risk concerns for equity markets and institutional investors.
  • Major projects cited, such as the Meta campus and long-term development plans, have extended timelines and long-term risk exposures, underlining project execution and funding risks for infrastructure and energy markets.

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