Analyst Ratings February 3, 2026

Stifel Nudges Up Simon Property Group Target to $185, Holds Rating After Strong Q4 FFO

Analyst lifts price target by $1 following FFO beat; Hold rating intact as REIT posts outsized EPS and revenue in Q4 2025

By Nina Shah SPG
Stifel Nudges Up Simon Property Group Target to $185, Holds Rating After Strong Q4 FFO
SPG

Stifel raised its price objective for Simon Property Group (SPG) to $185 from $184 while keeping a Hold rating. The adjustment follows a fourth-quarter Real Estate FFO per share beat and reflects higher net operating income from the REIT's properties. Simon also reported outsized Q4 2025 EPS and revenue versus forecasts.

Key Points

  • Stifel increased its SPG price target to $185 from $184 and maintained a Hold rating - impacts equity analysts and institutional investors.
  • Q4 Real Estate FFO per share of $3.49 beat expectations; Stifel noted FFO was $0.05 above its estimate and $0.04 above the Street - impacts REIT performance metrics and valuation models.
  • Simon reported Q4 2025 EPS of $9.35 versus a $1.84 forecast and revenue of $1.79 billion versus $1.49 billion expected - impacts investor attention and market perception of company execution.

Stifel on Tuesday increased its price target for Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG) to $185.00, up marginally from $184.00, while retaining a Hold rating on the shares. At the time of the update, SPG was trading at $187.77, trading just under its 52-week high of $193.50 and above its InvestingPro Fair Value estimate.

The firm’s tweak in valuation followed Simon Property Group’s release of fourth-quarter Real Estate Funds From Operations (FFO) per share of $3.49, a result that surpassed consensus expectations. InvestingPro data also attributes a "GREAT" financial health score of 3.11 to the company.

Stifel analyst Simon Yarmak quantified the beat, noting the reported FFO was $0.05 ahead of Stifel’s internal estimate and $0.04 above the Street consensus. Yarmak attributed the variance to stronger-than-expected Net Operating Income (NOI) generated by the REIT’s property portfolio.

The updated $185 price target represents a modest $1.00 increase versus Stifel’s prior valuation, while the firm kept its Hold designation unchanged.

Separately, Simon Property Group reported fourth-quarter results for 2025 that materially exceeded expectations on both the earnings and revenue lines. The company posted earnings per share of $9.35, substantially higher than the forecast of $1.84. Revenue for the period came in at $1.79 billion, topping the anticipated $1.49 billion by 20.13 percent.

Those headline figures were described in company updates as indicative of robust financial performance and management initiatives. The scale of the EPS and revenue beats has attracted attention among investors and analysts, and they form the immediate backdrop for the analyst reassessment at Stifel.

For market participants tracking SPG, the combination of an FFO beat, stronger NOI, and outsized reported EPS and revenue underscores near-term operating momentum as measured by the company’s reported metrics. Despite these results and the slight upward revision to Stifel’s target, the broker-dealer’s Hold rating signals no change to its recommendation posture.


Summary

Stifel raised its price target on Simon Property Group to $185 from $184 and left its Hold rating in place after the REIT reported a Q4 FFO per share of $3.49 that topped expectations. Stifel highlighted higher NOI as the primary driver of the upside to its FFO estimate. Simon also reported Q4 2025 EPS of $9.35 and revenue of $1.79 billion, both well above forecasts.

Risks

  • Stifel’s Hold rating was unchanged despite the beat, indicating uncertainty in near-term valuation - affects equity investors and sell-side coverage.
  • The modest $1.00 increase in the price target suggests limited revision to forward valuation assumptions - impacts analysts’ models and investor return expectations.
  • Reported metrics depend on NOI and FFO drivers; future variability in property-level NOI could alter forward estimates - affects REIT cash flow forecasts and capital allocation considerations.

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