Analyst Ratings February 5, 2026

Stifel Affirms Buy on FLEX After Better-Than-Expected Q3; Firm Lifts Guidance as AI Data Center Demand Strengthens

Strong quarterly results, margin gains in Reliability Solutions, and renewed buybacks underpin analyst optimism amid mixed profitability metrics

By Maya Rios FLEX
Stifel Affirms Buy on FLEX After Better-Than-Expected Q3; Firm Lifts Guidance as AI Data Center Demand Strengthens
FLEX

Stifel maintained a Buy rating and $75 price target on FLEX Ltd following fiscal Q3 2026 results that beat company guidance. Revenue, adjusted operating margin and adjusted EPS all topped management midpoints, and FLEX raised its fiscal 2026 outlook while highlighting progress toward higher-value technology offerings in AI data center infrastructure. The quarter featured solid free cash flow, continuing share repurchases and partnership activity with NVIDIA and LG, though overall gross profit margins remain compressed.

Key Points

  • Stifel reiterated a Buy rating with a $75 price target after FLEX’s fiscal Q3 2026 results exceeded management guidance; revenue, adjusted operating margin and adjusted EPS all beat midpoints - impacts technology and corporate finance sectors.
  • FLEX raised fiscal 2026 guidance and emphasized a strategic shift toward AI data center-related technology and solutions; two analysts lifted FY2026 EPS estimates to $3.31 per InvestingPro - impacts data center and cloud infrastructure markets.
  • Reliability Solutions delivered a 7.2% adjusted operating margin and the company generated $275 million in free cash flow while maintaining share repurchases of roughly $200-300 million per quarter; however, LTM gross profit margin is weak at 9.27% - impacts industrials, power solutions and equity investors.

Stifel has kept a Buy rating on FLEX Ltd and set a $75.00 price target after the electronics manufacturer reported fiscal third-quarter 2026 results that surpassed the company’s internal guidance. The firm’s decision follows a quarter in which FLEX posted higher revenue, improved adjusted margins and stronger adjusted earnings per share than management had signaled.

Key reported figures for the quarter include revenue of $7.058 billion, an adjusted operating margin of 6.5% and adjusted EPS of $0.87. Each of those outcomes exceeded the management guidance midpoints of $6.8 billion in revenue, a 6.2% adjusted operating margin, and $0.77 in adjusted EPS. Over the last twelve months, FLEX recorded total revenue of $26.84 billion and diluted earnings per share of $2.23.

Following the quarter, the company raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance and emphasized an ongoing strategic shift away from being a traditional contract manufacturer toward positioning as a higher-value technology enabler, with particular focus on the AI data center ecosystem. Market data from InvestingPro indicates two analysts have increased FY2026 earnings estimates for FLEX, with EPS for that year now projected at $3.31.

Among FLEX’s operating units, the Reliability Solutions segment stood out as a margin contributor. That division posted a 7.2% adjusted operating margin, supported by demand for power and core industrial solutions, even as consumer-facing end markets showed signs of softness. The company’s overall gross profit margin for the last twelve months, however, remains low at 9.27%.

Free cash flow generation was notable in the quarter, with FLEX producing $275 million. The company confirmed it will continue its quarterly share-repurchase program in the $200 million to $300 million range. Management also continued to deepen strategic partnerships with NVIDIA and LG aimed at modular data center designs and thermal management solutions.

InvestingPro data highlights management’s active buyback activity, and notes the stock has delivered a 36.24% total return over the past year. Separately, Raymond James raised its price target on FLEX to $80 after the December quarter results, and maintained an Outperform rating, citing strong datacenter performance. The same firm had previously upgraded FLEX from Market Perform to Outperform, pointing to growth opportunities in cloud and AI infrastructure.

The quarter’s results present a mix of encouraging operational signals and ongoing profitability pressure. While adjusted margins in certain segments and cash generation improved, the relatively weak gross profit margin on a trailing-twelve-month basis underscores a continuing challenge for overall profitability.


Related corporate developments in renewables and manufacturing capacity:

In separate industry activity, Nextpower has advanced multiple projects. The company, in partnership with Abunayyan Holding, established a joint venture named Nextpower Arabia to supply solar tracking systems across the Middle East and North Africa. That joint venture will provide 2.25 gigawatts of solar tracking systems to the Bisha Solar project in Saudi Arabia, which forms part of the country’s National Renewable Energy Program.

In the United States, Nextpower has expanded its Southeast regional hub in Nashville, Tennessee, effectively doubling its solar tracker production capacity. The expansion is expected to support an increase in production and the creation of additional skilled jobs as output ramps up.


Takeaway

Stifel’s reaffirmation of a Buy rating and $75 price target reflects confidence in FLEX’s near-term operational execution and strategic repositioning toward higher-value offerings in AI data center infrastructure. The company’s quarter delivered revenue, margins and EPS above internal guidance, produced meaningful free cash flow, and sustained shareholder returns through buybacks and partnerships. At the same time, company-wide gross profit margins remain constrained, representing a continuing area to monitor for investors and analysts.

Risks

  • Persistently low gross profit margins (9.27% LTM) could constrain overall profitability despite segment-level margin gains - risk to investors and corporate profitability assessments in technology and manufacturing sectors.
  • Softness in consumer-facing end markets could pressure sales and margins in parts of FLEX’s business even as industrial and data center demand remains firm - risk to industrial and technology supply chain stakeholders.
  • Share repurchase programs and partnership investments could limit flexibility if cash generation weakens; maintaining buybacks in the $200-300 million quarterly range depends on continued free cash flow - risk to corporate finance and capital allocation planning.

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