Analyst Ratings January 27, 2026

RBC Sticks With Outperform on IBM, Cites Long-Term Cloud and AI Exposure

Analyst maintains $350 price target as market awaits January 28 earnings and evaluates software momentum, Red Hat headwinds and valuation metrics

By Caleb Monroe IBM
RBC Sticks With Outperform on IBM, Cites Long-Term Cloud and AI Exposure
IBM

RBC Capital has reiterated an Outperform rating and a $350 price target on IBM, highlighting confidence in the company’s positioning in hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence despite recent valuation and software execution questions. Investors will be focused on IBM’s January 28 earnings report and software revenue components, including management’s note of ongoing headwinds at Red Hat through year-end.

Key Points

  • RBC Capital reaffirmed an Outperform rating and a $350 price target on IBM, citing strategic exposure to hybrid cloud, AI and quantum computing.
  • IBM trades at $296.33 with a P/E of 35.41 and is judged slightly overvalued by InvestingPro Fair Value metrics; investors await January 28 fourth-quarter results expected at $19.2 billion revenue and $4.29 EPS.
  • Analyst opinions diverge: Evercore ISI reiterated Underperform, Stifel and Jefferies maintained or upgraded Buy views, and BofA raised its price target to $335 while noting margin pressure from workforce rebalancing.

RBC Capital has reaffirmed an Outperform rating on IBM (NYSE:IBM) and held its price target at $350.00, signaling the firm’s continued confidence in the technology company’s strategic placement across hybrid cloud computing, artificial intelligence and longer-term work in quantum computing. RBC analyst Matthew Swanson underpins the call and expects IBM to post solid year-end results, with the possibility of upside to both total revenue and free cash flow targets.

At the time of this report, IBM is trading at $296.33 and shows a price-to-earnings ratio of 35.41, a level that suggests a premium valuation. InvestingPro data referenced in market commentary indicates IBM is slightly overvalued when measured against its Fair Value assessment.

Market attention is concentrated on IBM’s upcoming fourth-quarter results, due January 28, where consensus expectations include $19.2 billion in revenue and $4.29 in earnings per share. RBC’s outlook leaves room for upside to those figures, while other analysts take differing stances on the near-term story.

Recent analyst moves provide a snapshot of divergent views across the sell-side. Evercore ISI has reiterated an Underperform rating, projecting results that are in line with or only marginally above current estimates, citing strength in IBM’s Infrastructure segment as a primary driver. Stifel has maintained a Buy rating, pointing to improved software execution and growth prospects as supportive of a constructive view.

Bank of America Securities has raised its price target to $335 while keeping a Buy rating, but it flagged the prospect of softer profit margins tied to workforce rebalancing initiatives. Jefferies moved to upgrade IBM from Hold to Buy, highlighting what it describes as a clearer path to software growth, particularly within the Red Hat business.

Software revenue components remain a focal point for investors evaluating IBM’s trajectory. Management has previously warned of continued headwinds for Red Hat through the end of the year, which the company says could set the stage for a re-acceleration in fiscal year 2026 should conditions improve.

Beyond financials, IBM has extended a long-running technology partnership with the Wimbledon tennis tournament, continuing a collaboration that began in 1995. The renewal underscores ongoing strategic efforts to maintain visible, long-term corporate relationships as part of the company’s broader market positioning.


As the January 28 earnings release approaches, market participants will be watching whether IBM can sustain the recent momentum implied by 4.51% revenue growth over the last twelve months, and whether software execution and free cash flow can meet or exceed analyst expectations. The mix of analyst ratings and price targets reflects both confidence in IBM’s secular exposure to cloud and AI and differing assessments of near-term operational execution and valuation.

Risks

  • Red Hat-related headwinds: Management has indicated ongoing challenges for Red Hat through year-end, which could weigh on software revenue and the software-driven portion of IBM’s growth profile - impacts the software and cloud sectors.
  • Valuation pressure: IBM’s current P/E of 35.41 and InvestingPro’s Fair Value assessment suggesting slight overvaluation create risk for returns if results fall short - impacts equity investors and tech sector sentiment.
  • Margin sensitivity from workforce changes: BofA’s note on softer profit margins due to workforce rebalancing highlights operational risks that could affect profitability and investor expectations - impacts corporate margins and technology sector earnings.

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