Analyst Ratings February 4, 2026

RBC Lifts Atkore Price Target to $71 After Strong Quarter, Keeps Sector Perform

Analyst raise follows first significant earnings beat in two years as steel conduit pricing and margins improve

By Avery Klein ATKR
RBC Lifts Atkore Price Target to $71 After Strong Quarter, Keeps Sector Perform
ATKR

RBC Capital increased its price target on Atkore to $71 from $64 while leaving a Sector Perform rating in place, citing a quarterly operating result that outpaced expectations by 23% on stronger volume, pricing, and EBITDA margin. The stock trades near the revised target, and third-party fair-value data suggests potential undervaluation. Management left fiscal 2026 guidance unchanged despite the outperformance, and analysts project a return to profitability this fiscal year.

Key Points

  • RBC Capital raised its price target on Atkore to $71 from $64 and kept a Sector Perform rating; the new target is close to the current share price.
  • Atkore posted a quarterly operating result that beat RBC's estimate by 23%, driven by stronger volume, pricing improvements in some lines, and higher EBITDA margin; EPS of $0.83 and revenue of $655.5 million exceeded analyst expectations.
  • Analysts project Atkore will return to profitability this fiscal year with an EPS forecast of $5.08; pricing normalization, particularly in steel conduit, could be a catalyst if it bottoms later this year - relevant to industrials and materials sectors.

RBC Capital has raised its target price for Atkore (NYSE: ATKR) to $71.00, up from $64.00, while maintaining a Sector Perform rating on the electrical products manufacturer. The new target sits close to the stock's recent market level of $69.89, and independent fair-value metrics indicate the shares may still trade below intrinsic valuation.

The analyst revision follows Atkore's latest quarterly disclosure, which showed operating results roughly 23% better than RBC's internal estimate. The firm attributed the upside to stronger volumes, favorable pricing dynamics in some product lines, and an improvement in EBITDA margin. RBC noted this marks the first meaningful earnings beat the company has reported in about two years.

Third-party analyst consensus data referenced alongside the results projects that Atkore will be profitable in the current fiscal year, with an EPS forecast of $5.08, even though the company recorded negative earnings over the trailing twelve months. Those forecasts align with the improved near-term operating profile signaled by the quarter's performance.

RBC's commentary highlighted that overall pricing for Atkore's product set remains negative on a broad basis, but the company did report a year-over-year price increase in steel conduit specifically. The firm suggested pricing across the business could reach a bottom later in the year, a development that would likely serve as a positive catalyst for the shares if realized. Atkore's historical price sensitivity is underscored by a beta of 1.53, indicating greater volatility than the broader market and the potential for amplified moves should pricing conditions change.

Despite the stronger-than-expected quarter, Atkore left its fiscal 2026 guidance unchanged. RBC interpreted the decision as management taking a conservative posture early in the fiscal year rather than signaling concern about the company's trajectory. The analyst house described the stock's risk-reward profile as "balanced" and observed that the recent earnings beat could provide momentum for a potential take-private conversation, though it did not present that as a forecast.

In the specific financials disclosed for the quarter, Atkore reported earnings per share of $0.83, outperforming the $0.64 figure analysts had projected. Revenue for the period came in at $655.5 million versus an anticipated $650.09 million, a modest top-line beat that nonetheless reinforced the stronger operating result. Market participants and investment firms have taken note of the quarterly outturn, though there were no explicit reports of analyst upgrades or downgrades tied directly to the release.

For investors tracking industrials and materials exposure, the quarter offers mixed signals: the company demonstrated operational leverage through margin expansion and slightly better-than-expected sales, yet persistent negative pricing across parts of the portfolio and unchanged guidance leave room for caution. The improvement in steel conduit pricing stands out as the clearest positive within the report.

Moving forward, the trajectory of product-level pricing and management's willingness to update guidance will be key inputs for assessing whether the stock's recent momentum is durable. In the near term, volatility—reflected in Atkore's above-market beta—may magnify investor returns in either direction depending on how pricing and margins evolve.

Risks

  • Persistent negative pricing across parts of Atkore's product portfolio could continue to pressure margins and revenue - this affects industrials and construction-related markets.
  • Management left fiscal 2026 guidance unchanged despite the quarter's outperformance, signaling potential conservatism or uncertainty about sustainability of the improvement - this introduces guidance-related risk for investors.
  • Above-market volatility (beta of 1.53) means share moves could be amplified if pricing or volume trends reverse, increasing market risk for holders of industrial and materials exposures.

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