Analyst Ratings January 29, 2026

RBC lifts ASML price target to $1,625 after record bookings; multiple banks follow suit

Analysts point to robust AI-driven demand and productivity gains as ASML posts strongest quarterly orders in company history

By Sofia Navarro ASML
RBC lifts ASML price target to $1,625 after record bookings; multiple banks follow suit
ASML

RBC Capital increased its price objective for ASML Inc. to $1,625 from $1,550 and maintained an Outperform rating after the semiconductor equipment maker reported record quarterly bookings of €13.2 billion. The upgrade follows strong revenue and bookings that analysts say are being driven by artificial intelligence-related demand, even as China demand moderates. Several other brokerages also raised targets or ratings after the quarter.

Key Points

  • RBC raised its ASML price target to $1,625 from $1,550 and kept an Outperform rating after record quarterly bookings of €13.2 billion.
  • Strong AI-related demand for DRAM and Advanced Logic is driving orders and revenue growth of $38.38 billion, with 15.58% year-over-year revenue growth.
  • Multiple brokerages raised price targets or ratings following the quarter, reflecting positive analyst sentiment across the semiconductor equipment and semiconductor sectors.

RBC Capital has raised its price target for ASML Inc. (NASDAQ:ASML) to $1,625.00 from $1,550.00 while keeping an Outperform rating on the company. ASML is presently trading at $1,422.92 and carries a market capitalization of $570.42 billion. InvestingPro Fair Value estimates indicate the stock appears slightly overvalued at current levels.

The analyst house said the target increase follows ASML’s latest quarterly results, which included a record level of bookings totaling €13.2 billion. That figure meaningfully outpaced near-term expectations of roughly €8-€10 billion and substantially exceeded consensus for the quarter.

RBC flagged that demand tied to artificial intelligence projects - notably for DRAM and Advanced Logic applications - has been driving order strength and more than offset weakness in China. ASML reported revenue of $38.38 billion and showed 15.58% revenue growth over the past twelve months, metrics that the firm said align with the observed book-to-bill dynamics.

On the technology front, the analyst note emphasized productivity improvements that are increasing EUV intensity, and stated that progress on High-NA systems remains on track. RBC also raised the possibility that ASML’s fiscal 2026 guidance could be conservative, citing constraints in cleanroom capacity - particularly at TSMC - that may be limiting near-term delivery assumptions.

Looking further out, RBC expects ASML to sustain double-digit revenue momentum into fiscal 2027. The firm identified several structural supports for that view: tight DRAM supply, wider adoption of more advanced process nodes in AI processors, and the return of greater competition among foundries.


RBC reiterated its Outperform rating alongside the price-target increase, signaling continued confidence in ASML’s growth trajectory within the semiconductor equipment market. InvestingPro data shows ASML trading close to its 52-week high of $1,493.47 and posting a strong 101.29% total return over the past 12 months.

ASML’s quarterly strength prompted a series of analyst updates from other firms as well. The company reported fourth-quarter bookings of EUR13.2 billion, well above consensus expectations of EUR6.9 billion, and several brokerages responded by raising targets or ratings:

  • Deutsche Bank raised its price target to EUR1,500 and maintained a Buy rating.
  • Wolfe Research increased its price target to EUR1,450, citing robust quarterly results and a favorable 2026 revenue outlook.
  • Barclays upgraded ASML’s rating to Overweight, pointing to rising demand for AI infrastructure.
  • Jefferies lifted its price target to EUR1,260, noting the substantial order intake in Q4-25 and that most of those orders are expected to ship in 2027.
  • TD Cowen also increased its price target to EUR1,500, highlighting the company’s solid results and guidance.

Together, the analyst moves reflect a broadly positive reception to ASML’s quarter among sell-side firms, with consensus views shifting higher on near- and medium-term revenue prospects.


Market participants should weigh the upbeat order and revenue trends against valuation and short-term operational constraints. ASML is approaching its 52-week peak and InvestingPro Fair Value data marks the stock as slightly overvalued at current prices, a factor that could influence near-term returns despite favorable demand dynamics.

This report focuses on the recent analyst updates and company disclosures. Additional subscriber-only research and proprietary Pro features were cited in the original reporting context but are not included here.

Risks

  • ASML’s fiscal 2026 guidance may be constrained by cleanroom capacity limits, particularly at TSMC, which could cap near-term shipments and revenue - affecting capital equipment demand in the semiconductor sector.
  • Slowing business in China could offset parts of demand growth, creating regional exposure risk for ASML and related semiconductor supply-chain companies.
  • Valuation considerations - InvestingPro’s Fair Value framework indicates the stock is slightly overvalued at current trading levels, which could temper upside for investors despite strong bookings.

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