Analyst Ratings January 28, 2026

RBC Capital Lifts Popular Inc. Price Target to $141, Cites Strong Capital and Puerto Rico Tailwinds

Bank keeps Outperform rating as EPS beat and buybacks bolster investor confidence

By Nina Shah BPOP
RBC Capital Lifts Popular Inc. Price Target to $141, Cites Strong Capital and Puerto Rico Tailwinds
BPOP

RBC Capital increased its 12-month price target for Popular, Inc. (BPOP) to $141 from $137 while retaining an Outperform rating. The firm pointed to a robust 15.7% CET1 ratio, active share repurchases, and favorable economic dynamics in Puerto Rico - including disaster-relief spending and potential gains from on-shoring - as reasons for a bullish stance through 2026. Banco Popular reported a fourth-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $3.53 versus a $3.03 estimate, though revenue missed expectations slightly. Analysts have not yet revised ratings following the results.

Key Points

  • RBC Capital raised Populars price target to $141 from $137 and kept an Outperform rating.
  • The bank's 15.7% CET1 ratio is cited as providing flexibility to pursue growth and support shareholder returns.
  • Banco Popular reported Q4 2025 EPS of $3.53 versus a $3.03 estimate; revenue was slightly below expectations.

RBC Capital on Wednesday raised its price target for Popular, Inc. to $141.00 from $137.00 and left its rating on the stock at Outperform. The broker noted several factors behind the move that it believes support further upside for the bank.

Shares of Popular traded at $130.60 at the time of the note, roughly 1% below the companys 52-week high of $133.09 and after delivering a roughly 31% total return over the past 12 months.

Central to RBC Capitals assessment is Populars capital position. The firm highlighted a common equity tier 1 ratio of 15.7%, saying that level of capital provides flexibility and optionality for growth initiatives while underpinning shareholder returns.

RBC also pointed to the banks shareholder-friendly track record. Management has been an active buyer of stock, and the firm said that the banks financial footing supports ongoing repurchases. In its outlook, RBC suggested Popular should be able to sustain its buyback program and could further lift its dividend through 2026.

RBC singled out the economic environment in Puerto Rico as a constructive element for Populars outlook. The note cited continued benefits from U.S. Government disaster relief spending and broader U.S. economic growth as drivers for the island economy. The firm further noted that Puerto Rico stands to gain from the on-shoring trend of putting manufacturing capacity back on U.S. soil, a development it views as positive for the banks regional franchise.

In related company news, Banco Popular Inc. posted solid fourth-quarter 2025 results, delivering earnings per share of $3.53 versus a consensus forecast of $3.03. Revenue for the quarter fell slightly short of expectations, but the earnings beat was characterized in the market as evidence of positive momentum and contributed to investor confidence in the companys financial health.

Those results arrived under close investor scrutiny, and RBC noted that analyst shops have not yet issued rating updates in response to the quarter. The firms bullish projection through 2026 reflects an expectation that Popular can maintain capital discipline while continuing to return capital to shareholders.


How this affects markets

  • Bank investors may interpret the price-target increase and Outperform rating as confirmation of Populars capital strength and shareholder-return capacity.
  • Regional banking and Puerto Rico-focused economic sectors are highlighted by RBCs note as potential beneficiaries of fiscal relief and on-shoring trends.
  • Equity markets may take cues from the EPS beat, though the revenue shortfall and pending analyst reactions bear watching.

Risks

  • Revenue for the quarter fell slightly short of expectations, which may temper investor enthusiasm - impacts the banking and financial sectors.
  • Analyst firms have not yet updated ratings after the Q4 results, creating near-term uncertainty in market reaction - impacts equity investors in regional banks.
  • Macroeconomic shifts that affect Puerto Ricos recovery or the pace of on-shoring could alter the banks regional growth prospects - impacts regional economic and manufacturing sectors.

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