Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

Raymond James Lifts First Bancorp Target to $68 After Strong Quarter; NIM Gains, Fee Strength Drive Upgrade

Analyst raises price objective and keeps Strong Buy as fee income, reserve releases and securities repositioning support near-term margin expansion

By Ajmal Hussain FBNC
Raymond James Lifts First Bancorp Target to $68 After Strong Quarter; NIM Gains, Fee Strength Drive Upgrade
FBNC

Raymond James increased its price target on First Bancorp to $68 from $62 and retained a Strong Buy rating following the bank's fourth-quarter results. The broker pointed to robust fee revenue, healthy credit trends and a reserve release linked to Hurricane Helene as drivers of the beat. First Bancorp also completed a securities repositioning that is expected to support near-term net interest margin, though net interest income missed expectations and operating costs were higher than forecast.

Key Points

  • Raymond James raised First Bancorp's price target to $68 and kept a Strong Buy rating, citing earnings momentum, capital strength and credit metrics - impacts banking and financial services sectors.
  • Quarterly performance was supported by stronger fee income and a reserve release related to Hurricane Helene, while a securities repositioning contributed to near-term net interest margin expansion of 13 basis points - relevant to interest-rate-sensitive financial operations.
  • Despite margin improvement, net interest income missed expectations and operating expenses were higher than projected, prompting modest reductions to EPS forecasts by Raymond James - affecting investor earnings expectations for regional banks.

Raymond James has raised its price target on First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FBNC) to $68.00, up from $62.00, and maintained a Strong Buy rating after the regional bank reported fourth-quarter results that the firm described as encouraging. The new target sits close to InvestingPro's Fair Value metric, which indicates the stock may be slightly undervalued given a market capitalization of $2.4 billion.

The bank's reported results outpaced expectations, supported primarily by stronger fee income and favorable credit trends. Management noted a reserve release associated with Hurricane Helene, which contributed to a lighter loss provision for the quarter. Over the last twelve months, First Bancorp produced diluted earnings per share of $2.68. Analysts' models referenced by the reporting indicate expectations for EPS to reach $4.59 in fiscal 2026.

First Bancorp completed a securities repositioning intended to bolster net interest margin in the near term. The bank already demonstrated NIM expansion, improving by 13 basis points quarter-over-quarter. Despite this margin improvement, net interest income for the period fell short of analyst expectations. At the same time, operating expenses exceeded projections, and management flagged a slightly tempered growth outlook. In response to these dynamics, Raymond James modestly lowered its EPS forecasts.

In explaining its decision to lift the price target and maintain a Strong Buy stance, Raymond James highlighted several company strengths: positive earnings momentum, a solid capital position and healthy credit metrics. The firm said these factors support a view that First Bancorp's shares are positioned to outperform peers and merit premium valuation multiples.


These fourth-quarter developments followed previously reported outperformance in the prior period. First Bancorp had posted stronger-than-expected third-quarter 2025 results, characterized by robust balance sheet growth and a materially higher net interest margin. That set of results prompted other broker actions: Piper Sandler upgraded the stock from Neutral to Overweight and set a price target of $58.00. Separately, earlier coverage from Raymond James upgraded the stock to Strong Buy with a $62.00 target, prior to this most recent change.

On the corporate governance and shareholder-return fronts, First Bancorp announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.23 per share. The dividend is payable on January 25, 2026, to shareholders of record as of December 31, 2025. In addition, the bank said that G. Adam Currie, who became CEO in February 2025, has been appointed to the boards of directors of both First Bank and its parent, First Bancorp. Currie, a bank executive with the organization since 2015, brings leadership experience from previous roles at PNC Capital Markets and RBC Bank.

Taken together, the results, the securities repositioning and board-level developments shaped analyst reactions and updated price targets, while also influencing forward-looking EPS estimates. The bank's mix of stronger fee revenue and credit performance were central to the quarter's upside, even as the shortfall in net interest income and higher operating expenses tempered some forecast assumptions.

Investors and market participants will likely watch upcoming quarters for the sustained impact of the securities repositioning on net interest income as well as the trajectory of operating expenses and loan growth, which underpinned the modest adjustments to earnings forecasts by Raymond James.

Risks

  • Net interest income falling short of expectations poses a risk to revenue growth and profitability - impacts banking and financial services sectors.
  • Operating expenses exceeding projections could compress margins and reduce the upside to earnings estimates - relevant to bank operating performance and investor returns.
  • A slightly tempered growth outlook from the bank may limit near-term earnings trajectory and valuation expansion - affects regional banking comparisons and capital markets sentiment.

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