Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

Raymond James Increases CSX Price Target, Endorses CEO's Strategic Initiatives

Optimism Surrounds CSX's ONECSX Program and Leadership Focus Amid Mixed Q4 Financial Results

By Jordan Park CSX
Raymond James Increases CSX Price Target, Endorses CEO's Strategic Initiatives
CSX

Raymond James has upgraded its price objective for CSX Inc. to $41 from $40, maintaining an Outperform rating. The adjustment reflects confidence in CSX's operational advances driven by the ONECSX initiatives and the strategic direction set by new CEO Steve Angel. Despite a marginal revenue shortfall in Q4 2025, earnings surpassed expectations, supporting positive future growth prospects.

Key Points

  • Raymond James increased CSX’s price target to $41 from $40 and maintained an Outperform rating, signaling confidence in the company’s future performance.
  • CSX’s ONECSX program is expected to enhance operational efficiencies and foster cultural transformation, positively impacting revenues, margins, earnings per share, and free cash flow.
  • New CEO Steve Angel’s strategy emphasizes improved service, innovative industrial development, and disciplined capital returns, potentially leading to market share gains and growth beyond current market expectations.

Raymond James raised its price target for railroad company CSX Inc. to $41.00, up from $40.00, while holding an Outperform recommendation as of January 23, 2026. The stock currently trades around $35.78, with a market capitalization nearing $66.62 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.38, as reported by InvestingPro.

This revision stems from Raymond James' favorable outlook on the progress of CSX's ONECSX program, a comprehensive initiative focused on enhancing operational efficiency and cultivating a transformative corporate culture. The brokerage firm anticipates that these initiatives will bolster the company’s revenue streams, profitability margins, earnings per share, and free cash flow generation over the upcoming years.

Supporting these expectations, Raymond James emphasized the leadership approach of newly appointed CEO Steve Angel. Mr. Angel aims to combine enhanced service delivery with an innovative internal industrial development framework while maintaining strict discipline in managing returns on invested capital. This strategic focus is viewed as a potential catalyst for sustained growth and increased market share, which could drive earnings and free cash flow to levels potentially exceeding current market forecasts.

On the dividend front, CSX has demonstrated consistent shareholder returns, maintaining dividend distributions for 45 consecutive years. Presently, the company's dividend yield stands at 1.45%, accompanied by dividend growth of 8.33% in recent periods.

In recent quarterly results, CSX generated earnings per share (EPS) of $0.42 in the fourth quarter of 2025, marginally exceeding consensus analyst estimates of $0.41, equating to a 2.44% positive earnings surprise. However, the company faced a revenue shortfall, reporting $3.51 billion relative to the $3.55 billion expected by analysts, representing a 1.13% negative revenue variance. These mixed financial outcomes illustrate a nuanced performance profile, with the earnings beat providing a positive signal, while the revenue miss may give investors reason for cautious scrutiny.

Following the earnings announcement, CSX's stock price experienced slight volatility in after-hours trading, reflecting investor recalibration in light of the earnings report. These developments offer valuable insight into the company's current financial condition and outlook as it executes its ongoing strategic initiatives.

Risks

  • Despite the positive earnings surprise in Q4 2025, CSX missed revenue expectations, indicating potential challenges in top-line growth which may affect investor confidence.
  • The success of CSX’s strategic initiatives relies heavily on effective execution under new leadership, posing operational risks if anticipated improvements fail to materialize.
  • Market volatility following earnings reports suggests sensitivity to mixed financial results, reflecting uncertainty in how the transportation sector and investors may react to near-term performance fluctuations.

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