Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

Raymond James Boosts Old Second Bancorp Price Target to $23, Cites Strong Margin Expansion

Analyst keeps Strong Buy rating after the bank exceeds Q4 earnings and posts double-digit revenue growth

By Avery Klein OSBC
Raymond James Boosts Old Second Bancorp Price Target to $23, Cites Strong Margin Expansion
OSBC

Raymond James increased its 12-month price target for Old Second Bancorp (OSBC) to $23 from $21 while sustaining a Strong Buy recommendation. The firm pointed to fourth-quarter results that showed net interest margin expansion from an already high base, controlled expenses and a 14.55% year-over-year revenue gain. Loan growth lagged, but analysts expect loan balances to rise more notably as a purchased participation portfolio tied to a past acquisition winds down.

Key Points

  • Raymond James raised its Old Second price target to $23 and kept a Strong Buy rating, aligning with a consensus rating of 1.67.
  • Bank reported strong fourth-quarter metrics: NIM expansion from an "already industry-leading NIM," disciplined operating expenses and 14.55% year-over-year revenue growth.
  • Q4 2025 results beat estimates with EPS of $0.58 versus $0.50 expected and revenue of $95.2 million versus $94.88 million forecast; loan growth disappointed during the quarter but should improve as a purchased participation portfolio winds down.

Raymond James raised its price objective on Old Second Bancorp (NASDAQ: OSBC) to $23.00 from $21.00 and kept a Strong Buy rating on the shares. The adjustment sits within the current analyst target range of $21 to $26 and is consistent with an overall analyst consensus rating of 1.67, which equates to Strong Buy.

The firm pointed to the community bank's fourth-quarter performance as the main justification for the higher target. Raymond James highlighted solid expansion in net interest margin - noting that this improvement came on top of what it described as an "already industry-leading NIM" - and credited disciplined control of operating expenses. Those factors, the analyst said, contributed to an aggregate revenue increase of 14.55% over the past twelve months.

Despite those positives, Raymond James acknowledged that loan growth during the quarter was disappointing. The report emphasized that this weakness in loan balances should be viewed in the context of a multi-year process to run off a purchased participation portfolio originating from Old Second's West Suburban acquisition. As that wind-down nears completion, the firm expects that increases in loan production will more meaningfully translate into higher reported loan balances.

Raymond James retained a bullish longer-term view on Old Second, stating its belief that the franchise will continue to expand and deliver profitability metrics that outpace peers. That conviction underpins the maintained Strong Buy opinion and the revised price target.

Separately, Old Second released fourth-quarter 2025 results that beat Wall Street estimates. The bank reported adjusted earnings per share of $0.58, topping the $0.50 consensus estimate - a 16% surprise. Revenue for the quarter came in at $95.2 million versus an expected $94.88 million. Those figures were followed by an increase in investor optimism, according to market reaction cited around the earnings announcement.

Taken together, the combination of margin expansion, expense control and revenue growth informed Raymond James' updated valuation and continued positive stance. At the same time, the trend in loan growth and the transition around the purchased participation portfolio remain material variables for near-term loan balance dynamics.

Risks

  • Disappointing loan growth during the quarter could constrain asset-side expansion and affect near-term loan balances - impacting banking sector earnings trajectories.
  • Ongoing run-off of the purchased participation portfolio from the West Suburban acquisition may mask underlying loan production trends until the wind-down is complete - creating uncertainty for investors tracking loan book growth.
  • The bank's near-term performance is reliant on continued NIM expansion and expense discipline; any reversal in these trends could pressure profitability metrics relative to peers.

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