Analyst Ratings January 29, 2026

Morgan Stanley Raises Cencora to Overweight, Sees Strength in Specialty Pharmaceuticals

Bank lifts price target to $400 and updates 2026 forecasts as dealmaking and asset reviews reshape outlook

By Derek Hwang COR
Morgan Stanley Raises Cencora to Overweight, Sees Strength in Specialty Pharmaceuticals
COR

Morgan Stanley has upgraded Cencora Inc (NYSE: COR) from Equalweight to Overweight and increased its price target to $400 from $361. The firm cites Cencora's leadership in specialty pharmaceuticals and the expedited purchase of a majority stake in OneOncology, expected to close by March 31, 2026. Morgan Stanley also raised key 2026 growth assumptions and projects slightly higher earnings per share than consensus. Other analysts hold mixed views as the company pursues additional transactions and board changes.

Key Points

  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Cencora from Equalweight to Overweight and raised its price target to $400 from $361.
  • Upgrade driven by Cencora’s specialty pharmaceutical leadership and accelerated majority acquisition of OneOncology, expected to close by March 31, 2026.
  • Morgan Stanley raised FY2026 U.S. Healthcare Solutions AOI growth to 10.8% and projects EPS of $17.63, slightly above consensus.

Overview

Morgan Stanley moved Cencora Inc (NYSE: COR) up from an Equalweight rating to Overweight and raised its price target to $400.00 from $361.00. The firm highlighted Cencora's position in specialty pharmaceuticals and cited the company's expedited acquisition of a majority stake in OneOncology, a transaction management expects to complete by March 31, 2026. Cencora carries a market capitalization of $68.19 billion and was trading at $350.54, close to its 52-week high of $377.54 at the time of the note.

Dividend and shareholder returns

Data from InvestingPro included in the research note show Cencora has paid dividends for 25 consecutive years, and reported dividend growth of 17.65% over the last twelve months. Morgan Stanley frames these dividend metrics and the company’s specialty focus as factors that support a higher rating from investors looking for both income and growth exposure within healthcare distribution.

Strategic portfolio moves

In addition to the OneOncology acquisition, Morgan Stanley pointed to Cencora’s review of strategic alternatives for several non-core assets - specifically MWI Animal Health, Profarma, U.S. Consulting Services, and portions of PharmaLex. The bank described these initiatives as steps toward optimizing the company’s business mix, an activity it expects investors to view favorably.

Forecast revisions and earnings outlook

Morgan Stanley raised its fiscal year 2026 U.S. Healthcare Solutions AOI growth forecast to 10.8% year-over-year from a prior estimate of 10.4%, reflecting an incrementally bullish view on underlying fundamentals in core drug distribution. The firm also projects International AOI growth of 7.0% year-over-year versus a consensus estimate of 6.5%. On that basis the bank models earnings per share of $17.63 for fiscal 2026, marginally above the consensus of $17.62.

Concurrent analyst activity and corporate moves

Other firms have issued differing assessments as Cencora advances its strategy. Jefferies upgraded the stock to Buy, citing execution and an enhanced long-range plan. Bank of America Securities trimmed its price target to $360 while maintaining a Neutral rating, noting concerns about valuation. Evercore ISI raised its price target to $420 and described the OneOncology transaction as a prudent deployment of capital. Separately, Cencora announced plans to acquire the remaining stake in OneOncology for approximately $5 billion, valuing the full enterprise at $7.4 billion; the transaction contemplates purchasing equity interests and retiring existing corporate debt. The company also appointed Ellen Cooper, CEO of Lincoln Financial, to its board of directors effective January 2026.

Context

These actions - a major specialty deal, portfolio reviews, analyst revisions, and a board appointment - together have created a dynamic period for Cencora as market participants reassess the company’s capital allocation and growth trajectory.


Note - Information above reflects the details provided in the recent analyst notes and company disclosures referenced.

Risks

  • Valuation concerns noted by BofA Securities, which maintained a Neutral rating and lowered its price target to $360 - impacts equity investors and financial markets.
  • Execution and integration risk related to the OneOncology transactions and planned acquisition of the remaining stake for approximately $5 billion, which includes retiring corporate debt - affects corporate finance and healthcare M&A activity.
  • Uncertainty around outcomes from strategic reviews of non-core assets such as MWI Animal Health, Profarma, U.S. Consulting Services, and parts of PharmaLex - relevant to investors monitoring portfolio optimization and potential divestitures.

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