Mizuho has lowered its price target on Advanced Micro Devices to $275 from $285 but left its Outperform rating intact, according to the firm. Shares of AMD are trading at $242.11 and remain below the average analyst target; the most bullish analyst targets reach as high as $380. Data from InvestingPro shows AMD delivered a 102.6% return over the past year.
The company reported quarterly results that were largely in line with expectations and supplied guidance for the March quarter that exceeded consensus. AMD put March-quarter revenue guidance at $9.8 billion, compared with a consensus estimate of $9.4 billion. Over the last twelve months the company has sustained strong revenue growth of 31.83%, and analysts forecast roughly 32% revenue growth for fiscal 2025.
AMD reiterated its expectation that the data center business will expand at a roughly 60% compound annual growth rate over the next three to five years. Management attributed this projected expansion to demand for AI and server products, calling out relationships and offerings such as OpenAI and the Helios/MI450/500 family. The company also said its EPYC server processor line is ramping, with the new Venice CPU on track for the second half of 2026.
On a longer-term basis, AMD remains a significant participant in the Semiconductors industry, posting a historical five-year revenue compound annual growth rate of 31%. InvestingPro analysis points to 18 additional key insights regarding the company’s financial condition and growth prospects.
AMD provided differentiated guidance across its end markets. For the PC segment, the company forecast a modest decline in total addressable market in 2026, attributing that expectation to memory component price inflation and anticipating a below-seasonal second half of the year. The gaming business was guided to a quarter-over-quarter decline.
Mizuho said it trimmed the price target because of higher operating expenses as AMD expands investment in AI-related hardware and software development. The analyst noted that shares fell about 7% in after-hours trading despite what Mizuho described as solid execution from the company, a move the firm attributed to elevated investor expectations.
Other recent analyst activity highlighted mixed yet broadly positive reactions to AMD’s results and outlook. Northland reiterated an Outperform rating with a $260 price target, while Rosenblatt Securities maintained a Buy rating with a $300 target, citing strong data center demand. Evercore ISI raised its target to $328, pointing to continued growth in the data center market even after a recent dip in the share price. BofA Securities increased its target to $280, emphasizing AMD as a competitive alternative in the AI GPU market. By contrast, Raymond James nudged its target slightly lower to $365 because of concerns over GPU sales but kept an Outperform rating in place.
Collectively, these analyst moves underscore market recognition of AMD’s execution and its growth trajectory in AI and data center products, while also reflecting differing views on near-term margin and expense dynamics. The company’s revenue momentum, elevated analyst targets, and the after-hours price reaction illustrate the tension between strong operational results and investor sensitivity to increased operating spending.
Summary
Mizuho reduced its AMD price target to $275 from $285, citing higher operating expenses tied to AI investments, while maintaining an Outperform rating. AMD reported results roughly in line with expectations, guided March-quarter revenue to $9.8 billion (above the $9.4 billion consensus), and projected a strong data center CAGR of 60% over the next three to five years. The company expects a slight contraction in the PC total addressable market in 2026 and a quarter-over-quarter decline in gaming revenue.
Key points
- Price-target action: Mizuho cut its AMD target to $275 from $285 but kept an Outperform rating, noting rising operating expenses.
- Earnings and guidance: Quarterly results were mostly in line with expectations; March-quarter revenue guidance is $9.8 billion versus a $9.4 billion consensus.
- Data center growth: AMD anticipates a roughly 60% CAGR for its data center business over the next three to five years, driven by AI and server products including OpenAI and Helios/MI450/500.
Risks and uncertainties
- Higher operating expenses - Increased investment in AI hardware and software could pressure margins and influence near-term earnings, affecting investor sentiment in the Semiconductors sector and related markets.
- PC market softness - Forecasts for a slightly smaller PC total addressable market in 2026 and an expected below-seasonal second half could weigh on the personal computer segment and suppliers of PC components.
- Gaming revenue decline - Guidance pointing to a quarter-over-quarter decline in gaming revenue introduces uncertainty for the gaming segment and accessory markets tied to gaming demand.