Analyst Ratings January 22, 2026

Mizuho Revises Mobileye Price Target to $11 Amid Lenient China Forecast

Autonomous vehicle tech company faces cautious growth outlook despite increasing unit sales projections

By Marcus Reed MBLY
Mizuho Revises Mobileye Price Target to $11 Amid Lenient China Forecast
MBLY

Mizuho has adjusted its price target for Mobileye to $11 from $12, maintaining a Neutral stance. The company reported quarterly revenues in line with estimates but raised concerns over modest fiscal 2026 growth expectations and a cautious view on the Chinese market. Despite these challenges, Mobileye shows strong financial metrics and progress in its autonomous driving initiatives.

Key Points

  • Mizuho lowers Mobileye's price target to $11 while keeping a Neutral rating, with stock trading near 52-week lows after significant decline.
  • Company reported Q4 revenue in line with estimates and projects modest 3% revenue growth for fiscal 2026, slightly below consensus.
  • Mobileye raised its 2026 EyeQ unit forecast to 37 million, anticipating steady quarterly sales after inventory replenishment phase.
  • Management expresses caution regarding the China market outlook for 2026 but expects overall revenue growth from new customer acquisitions and programs like Robotaxi expansion.

In a recent update, Mizuho has reduced its price target on Mobileye N.V to $11, down from the previous $12, while retaining a Neutral rating on the stock. Mobileye, which specializes in autonomous driving technologies, currently trades at $10.61, slightly above its 52-week low of $10.04, having declined nearly 33% over the last six months.

The company's financial report for the December quarter revealed revenue of $446 million, closely aligning with consensus estimates of $434 million. Mobileye provided guidance for fiscal 2026 revenue projecting $1.94 billion, indicating a growth rate of approximately 3% year-over-year, which is slightly below the market consensus expectation of 6% growth.

Although Mobileye has recorded a negative earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.41 over the trailing twelve months, analysts tracked by InvestingPro forecast that the company will return to profitability this fiscal year, with an estimated EPS of $0.35.

The firm has also revised upward its 2026 forecast for EyeQ units to 37 million, increased from an earlier estimate of 35.3 million. The first quarter of 2026 is expected to see unit sales reach 10 million, spurred by inventory replenishment, followed by quarterly sales stabilizing around 9 million units for the remainder of the year.

Mobileye anticipates the top ten customers' light vehicle production to decline by approximately 2% year-over-year. However, the company projects roughly 6% revenue growth year-over-year, attributable to new customer acquisitions. Despite these expectations, management expresses caution regarding the market conditions in China for 2026.

Financially, Mobileye remains robust with a current ratio of 6.46 and a balance sheet boasting more cash than debt, positioning the company well to navigate short-term hurdles.

On the product front, Mobileye's Robotaxi program is progressing satisfactorily. Collaborations with Volkswagen are expected to launch by the end of the current year, with plans to expand Robotaxi operations to six cities across the United States and Europe in 2027. Additionally, Mobileye's acquisition of Mentee is anticipated to close by the end of the March quarter.

Despite a recent downturn in share price, InvestingPro analysis suggests that Mobileye's stock remains undervalued relative to its fair value. Detailed expert insights and strategic evaluation are presented within the Pro Research Report, focusing on key industry developments impacting this autonomous driving technology leader.

In supplementary news, Mobileye Global Inc. announced its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings, which fell short of market expectations. The company posted an EPS of $0.06, well below the forecasted $0.24, alongside revenue totaling $446 million, versus an anticipated $726.82 million.

Following the earnings release, Oppenheimer adjusted its price target for Mobileye to $27 from $28, maintaining an Outperform rating. This revision reflects the company's fiscal 2026 guidance signaling modest unit growth of 3.6% and stable pricing amid product mix headwinds. Oppenheimer also highlighted that inventory levels for Mobileye's products remain lean, indicative of industry supply dynamics.

These developments underscore the current challenges Mobileye faces within the evolving autonomous driving sector and broader market conditions.

Risks

  • Mobileye faces risks from a projected 2% decline in light vehicle production from its top customers, impacting demand.
  • The cautious outlook on the China market in 2026 poses uncertainty over growth in a key region for autonomous driving technology.
  • Recent earnings missed market expectations, highlighting potential challenges in achieving forecasted profitability and revenue targets.

More from Analyst Ratings

JPMorgan Lifts Chevron Price Target to $181, Citing Cost Cuts and Post-Merger Investment Phase Feb 2, 2026 H.C. Wainwright Sticks With Buy on Summit Therapeutics After FDA Accepts BLA Feb 2, 2026 Mizuho Lifts AXIS Capital Target After Strong 2025 Momentum Feb 2, 2026 JPMorgan Lifts ExxonMobil Target to $140 After Strong Q4 Results; Stock Near 52-Week High Feb 2, 2026 JPMorgan Reaffirms Overweight on Carvana, Cites Durable Online Advantage Feb 2, 2026