Analyst Ratings February 3, 2026

Medtronic to Buy Remaining Stake in CathWorks for Up to $585M; Leerink Keeps Outperform Call

Deal seen as a measured push into AI-driven coronary assessment; Medtronic says transaction will be accretive over time

By Ajmal Hussain MDT
Medtronic to Buy Remaining Stake in CathWorks for Up to $585M; Leerink Keeps Outperform Call
MDT

Medtronic will acquire the remainder of CathWorks in a deal worth up to $585 million, with potential additional earn-outs. Analysts at Leerink Partners maintained an Outperform rating and a $120 price target on Medtronic, calling the transaction an "incremental positive." Management expects the deal to close by the end of fiscal 2026 and to be immaterial to FY27 GAAP and adjusted EPS but neutral-to-accretive thereafter.

Key Points

  • Medtronic will acquire the remaining stake in CathWorks for up to $585 million, with potential undisclosed earn-out payments.
  • Leerink Partners maintained an Outperform rating and a $120 price target on Medtronic, calling the acquisition an "incremental positive"; the target implies ~16% upside from a $103.46 trading price.
  • Medtronic expects the deal to close by the end of fiscal 2026 and to be immaterial to FY27 GAAP and adjusted EPS, becoming neutral-to-accretive thereafter.

Medtronic, Inc. (NYSE:MDT) announced it will purchase the outstanding stake in CathWorks for as much as $585 million, with the possibility of additional, undisclosed earn-out payments tied to the acquisition. The company, which has a market capitalization of $132.7 billion, continues to deploy its balance sheet to expand into higher-growth areas within medical technology.

Data from InvestingPro indicates Medtronic has been profitable in the last twelve months, generating $34.76 billion in revenue over that period. Leerink Partners responded to the CathWorks deal by reiterating an Outperform rating and maintaining a $120 price target on Medtronic shares, viewing the move as an "incremental positive" that aligns with management’s strategy of selectively investing in growth opportunities.


Deal mechanics and timing

Medtronic said the transaction is expected to be completed by the end of fiscal year 2026. Company management characterized the acquisition as immaterial to fiscal 2027 GAAP and adjusted earnings per share, projecting it will be neutral-to-accretive to earnings after that period.

The acquisition follows a strategic partnership formed in 2022 between Medtronic and CathWorks, which included a co-promotion agreement for the CathWorks FFRangio System across the U.S., Europe and Japan. The current transaction builds on that earlier commercial relationship and comes after Medtronic’s recent investment in Anteris.


Technology and product positioning

CathWorks offers an alternative to traditional wire-based fractional flow reserve techniques used to diagnose coronary artery disease. The company’s approach uses artificial intelligence and computational science to produce a physiological assessment of the coronary tree directly from routine angiograms, eliminating the need for invasive pressure wires in the diagnostic workflow.

For Medtronic, the acquisition extends its exposure to software-driven diagnostic capabilities that can sit on top of existing imaging workflows. Leerink’s maintained price target, which sits about 16% above the then-current trading price of $103.46, reflects the view that adding CathWorks is a strategic complement rather than a transformational purchase.


Other recent product and regulatory developments

  • Medtronic has widened access to its MiniMed 780G automated insulin delivery system via Medicare coverage and received FDA clearance for use with ultra rapid-acting insulins, and approval for the system to work with Abbott’s Instinct sensor for people with insulin-requiring type 2 diabetes.
  • The Affera Sphere-360 catheter, targeted at treating paroxysmal atrial fibrillation, received CE Mark approval in Europe and has completed initial cases in the U.S. Horizon 360 IDE pivotal trial.

Market context cited alongside the deal includes analyst commentary forecasting a rebound in the U.S. med-tech sector by 2026 and notes of potential merger and acquisition activity in the medical device industry.


Market and stock context

At the time of Leerink’s note, Medtronic was trading near its 52-week high and typically shows low price volatility, with a beta of 0.72 reported by InvestingPro. The $120 price target corresponds to roughly 16% upside from the quoted $103.46 share price.

The acquisition is presented by management as a targeted, strategic step to broaden Medtronic’s foothold in AI-enabled diagnostic tools while preserving near-term earnings stability.

Risks

  • Timing and integration risk - the deal is scheduled to close by the end of fiscal 2026, and successful integration will determine whether it becomes accretive as anticipated. This affects the medical device and healthcare technology sectors.
  • Financial materiality - management labels the acquisition immaterial to FY27 GAAP and adjusted EPS, which leaves uncertainty about near-term earnings impact for investors and market expectations in the med-tech sector.
  • Regulatory and commercial execution - the commercial uptake of CathWorks’ AI-based diagnostic solution depends on continued regulatory clearances and adoption in clinical practice, influencing diagnostic imaging and cardiology markets.

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