Analyst Ratings January 28, 2026

JPMorgan Lifts Nextpower Target to $125 After Strong Q3; Shares Near 52-Week High

Bank keeps Overweight rating as solar firm posts upside earnings and revenue, boosts guidance and launches $500M buyback

By Derek Hwang NXT
JPMorgan Lifts Nextpower Target to $125 After Strong Q3; Shares Near 52-Week High
NXT

JPMorgan raised its price target for Nextpower (NASDAQ:NXT) to $125 from $110 and maintained an Overweight rating after the company reported fiscal third-quarter results that outpaced expectations. The solar equipment maker delivered an EPS beat and stronger-than-forecast revenue, recorded robust bookings and backlog, and announced a $500 million share repurchase program. JPMorgan flagged potential timing of revenue as a point to monitor even as the firm highlighted progress in new markets, including a 2.25 GW order tied to the Middle East and North Africa and expansion via a new joint venture.

Key Points

  • JPMorgan raised its price target on Nextpower to $125 from $110 and maintained an Overweight rating after the company posted stronger-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results.
  • Nextpower reported EPS of $1.10 versus an expected $0.70 and revenue of $909 million versus a $745.13 million forecast, with a book-to-bill ratio over 1.0 and a record backlog driven by the U.S. and Europe; it expanded into two new countries.
  • The company authorized a $500 million share buyback - its first since its IPO three years ago - and announced a 2.25 GW order in the Middle East and North Africa tied to the Nextpower Arabia joint venture; InvestingPro rates the company’s balance sheet health as "GREAT" with more cash than debt.

JPMorgan has revised its price target on Nextpower (NASDAQ:NXT) upward to $125.00 from $110.00 while keeping an Overweight rating following the company’s fiscal third-quarter results, which the bank described as notably strong. The stock was trading at $105.91 at the time of the report, having risen 167.31% over the trailing year and trading close to its 52-week high of $112.74.

Nextpower reported quarterly financials that topped market expectations, delivering an earnings per share of $1.10 versus the $0.70 analysts had forecast. Revenue for the quarter came in at $909 million, ahead of the $745.13 million projection. The company said its book-to-bill ratio exceeded 1.0 and reported a record backlog, driven by heightened demand in the United States, record bookings across Europe, and entry into two additional countries.

JPMorgan noted the company raised its fiscal year 2026 guidance. However, the bank pointed out that the mid-point of the new guidance increased by slightly less than the magnitude of the fiscal third-quarter beat, suggesting some portion of revenue may have been pulled forward into the latest quarter.

On the commercial front, Nextpower announced a 2.25 GW order in the Middle East and North Africa region. JPMorgan characterized that contract as an encouraging signal for progress at the recently formed Nextpower Arabia joint venture. The company also authorized a $500 million share buyback program - its first repurchase authorization since going public three years ago.

Beyond the headline numbers, Nextpower’s balance sheet strength was highlighted. InvestingPro has assigned the company an overall health score of "GREAT," noting that Nextpower holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet. Despite the robust results and the upbeat guidance revision, the company’s stock experienced a slight decline in aftermarket trading following the earnings release.


Outlook and market reaction

The combination of earnings and revenue beats, record backlog and the large MENA order contributed to JPMorgan's decision to lift its price target. The $500 million buyback authorization also marks a notable capital allocation move for the company, coming three years after its initial public offering. Investors and analysts will be watching subsequent quarters to see whether the elevated near-term performance reflects sustainable demand growth or a timing shift of revenue into the most recent quarter.

Context for investors

  • Nextpower’s reported EPS and revenue exceeded consensus estimates for fiscal third quarter 2026.
  • The company emphasized a book-to-bill ratio greater than 1.0 and a record backlog, with geographic strength in the U.S. and Europe and expansion into two new countries.
  • Key corporate actions include a 2.25 GW order in MENA linked to Nextpower Arabia and a $500 million share repurchase program.

These developments have led analysts and market participants to reassess Nextpower’s near-term prospects, while also focusing attention on the timing of revenue recognition and the company’s ability to convert backlog into future deliveries and cash flow.

Risks

  • Timing of revenue recognition - JPMorgan noted the mid-point of the fiscal 2026 guidance increase was slightly smaller than the third-quarter beat, indicating some revenue may have been pulled forward into the recent quarter. This creates uncertainty about revenue sustainability in subsequent periods.
  • Near-term market reaction - despite the strong results, the stock fell slightly in aftermarket trading, reflecting investor sensitivity to earnings details and the potential for market volatility in response to guidance nuances.
  • Execution and conversion risk for backlog - while the company reported record backlog and a sizable MENA order, converting backlog into delivered revenue and cash flow remains a source of uncertainty for equity and project-finance market participants.

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