Analyst Ratings February 4, 2026

Jefferies Keeps PepsiCo at Hold, Cites Execution and Early Consumer Response as Key Drivers

Analyst keeps $164 price target as PepsiCo posts modest Q4 2025 beats and management outlines a 2026 strategy centered on affordability and innovation

By Avery Klein PEP
Jefferies Keeps PepsiCo at Hold, Cites Execution and Early Consumer Response as Key Drivers
PEP

Jefferies reaffirmed a Hold rating on PepsiCo with a $164 price target, noting the company’s refreshed 2026 strategy emphasizing affordability, innovation and sharper execution. The firm highlighted that consumer reaction in the first half of the year will be decisive for the stock’s trajectory. Recent quarter results beat expectations and prompted a separate price-target raise from Wells Fargo.

Key Points

  • Jefferies keeps Hold rating on PepsiCo with a $164 price target, slightly above the current $162.85 share price.
  • PepsiCo’s 2026 strategy focuses on affordability, innovation and sharper execution; initial market reaction has been positive but Jefferies awaits proof of sustained improvement.
  • PepsiCo beat Q4 2025 expectations with EPS of $2.26 and revenue of $29.34 billion; Wells Fargo raised its price target to $165 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating.

Jefferies maintained a Hold rating on PepsiCo Inc. stock and left its price target at $164.00, a level only slightly above the prevailing share price of $162.85. The research house described PepsiCo’s updated 2026 plan as pragmatic and well-received by investors but emphasized that execution will determine whether current improvements become durable.

The firm summarized the company’s strategic priorities for the coming years as affordability, innovation and sharper execution. Jefferies characterized that mix as sensible and noted positive market reception, but it stopped short of upgrading its view until tangible progress appears in consumer metrics.

PepsiCo’s financial profile was cited as a strength: the company reported gross profit margins of 54.15% and generated annual revenue of $93.92 billion. The stock has risen 13.47% year-to-date, reflecting investor appetite for the beverage and snack giant amid these fundamentals.

Jefferies flagged the first half of the year as a critical window. Consumer response during that period will be important in determining whether the improving trends documented by management can continue or whether a new strategic approach will be required. The analyst team expressed cautious optimism about management’s readiness to consider all options intended to create shareholder value, but reiterated that visible evidence of improvement is a prerequisite for altering its neutral stance.


Recent quarterly results provided additional context. PepsiCo reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings that modestly exceeded Wall Street expectations: adjusted earnings per share of $2.26 versus an expected $2.24, and revenue of $29.34 billion compared with a consensus figure of $28.98 billion.

Following the quarter, Wells Fargo adjusted its own view by raising its price target for PepsiCo to $165 from $154 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating on the shares. That move reflects a degree of confidence in PepsiCo’s near-term financial performance, even as other analysts await clearer signs of sustained improvement.

For now, Jefferies remains neutral. The firm said it will be looking for concrete evidence of improving consumer trends and execution before changing its rating or outlook on the company.

Risks

  • Consumer response in the first half of the year is uncertain and will be decisive for whether improving trends continue - this directly affects the consumer staples and retail sectors.
  • Execution risk: the effectiveness of PepsiCo’s refreshed strategy (affordability, innovation, sharper execution) is unproven and could prompt strategic revisions if results lag - impacting packaged foods and beverage markets.
  • Analyst sentiment may remain muted without clear operational evidence, which could limit upward pressure on the stock in the near term - affecting equity investors in consumer staples.

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