Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

HSBC Affirms Buy Recommendation on Meta, Sets Price Target at $905

Meta's Strategic AI Investments and Robust Growth Fuel Positive Outlook from HSBC

By Ajmal Hussain META
HSBC Affirms Buy Recommendation on Meta, Sets Price Target at $905
META

HSBC has maintained its Buy rating on Meta Platforms Inc., setting a $905 price target as the social media giant leverages AI advancements to enhance ad revenues and sustain high growth. Although Meta trails specialized competitors in generative AI, the company's focus on integrating AI into its core advertising offers strong financial prospects alongside expected rises in capital expenditures and operating expenses.

Key Points

  • Meta retains a strong Buy rating from HSBC with a $905 price target, trading currently at $647.63, reflecting confidence in its market position and growth potential.
  • AI integration significantly enhances Meta's advertising revenues by boosting user engagement and expanding ad inventory, contributing to robust profit margins and revenue growth.
  • Meta is set for substantial rises in capital expenditure and overall expenses in 2026, reflecting investment in future technology and business expansion.

HSBC has upheld its Buy rating on Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:META), fixing a price target of $905.00, signaling confidence in the company's trajectory despite current trading at $647.63. Analyst estimates for Meta's share value vary broadly from $685 to $1,117, reflecting a range of market expectations. Based on InvestingPro analysis, Meta's market valuation aligns closely with its Fair Value, as indicated by a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.56.

The investment bank highlights Meta’s early commitment and substantial financial backing in artificial intelligence technologies as key drivers for its advertising segment's success. AI capabilities have been instrumental in increasing user engagement and expanding advertising inventory, thereby contributing positively to the company's financial health. This strategic orientation is confirmed by Meta's impressive gross profit margin of 82.01% and a year-over-year revenue increase of 21.27%, per InvestingPro data covering the last twelve months.

While Meta does not lead in generative AI traffic when compared to specialized competitors such as OpenAI, Gemini, Deepseek, and Claude, HSBC notes the company’s primary aim remains the application of AI to optimize its advertising business rather than competing head-to-head in generative AI markets.

Looking forward, Meta projects a significant increase in capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026, surpassing the $32 billion rise anticipated for 2025, with market consensus expecting approximately $39.4 billion in growth. Additionally, the company anticipates overall expenses to accelerate, with projections indicating a 28% increase in 2026, up from a 23% growth forecast for 2025.

In recent developments, the sale of TikTok's U.S. operations to a consortium of primarily American investors, led by Oracle and Silverlake, has been approved by regulatory authorities in the United States and China. This transaction, expected to close imminently, marks a pivotal moment in discussions regarding TikTok's ownership.

Meta has remained a focal point for various financial analysts. Jefferies reiterated a Buy rating, emphasizing a favorable risk/reward balance and pointing to potential outperforming opportunities relative to competitors like Alphabet. Truist Securities also sustained its Buy rating despite reservations about Meta’s capital and operational spending plans and AI performance. Meanwhile, TD Cowen increased its price target on Meta to $820, reflecting anticipated gains in digital advertising market share for platforms such as Facebook and Instagram. Furthermore, Meta’s head of global business highlighted concerns about European regulatory frameworks potentially restricting AI progress, underscoring ongoing industry challenges.

Risks

  • Meta faces competitive pressure in generative AI from companies like OpenAI and Gemini, where it holds a less dominant position, potentially impacting future AI-driven innovation.
  • Increasing capital and operating expenses projected for 2026 could weigh on profitability if revenue growth does not keep pace.
  • Regulatory challenges, especially in European markets, may slow AI development and impact Meta's technological advancement and competitive edge.

More from Analyst Ratings

Palantir Gains After Lofty 2026 Guidance; Analysts Split on Outlook Feb 2, 2026 Freedom Capital Markets Starts Coverage of Nebius Group With Buy Rating, $108 Target Feb 2, 2026 Clear Street Starts Coverage on Caribou Biosciences with Buy Rating and $13 Target Feb 2, 2026 Goldman Keeps OLN Neutral at $22 as Olin Signals Rough Q1, Cost Cuts to Cushion Results Feb 2, 2026 Aletheia Capital Starts Coverage on Teradyne With Buy Rating, $400 Target Feb 2, 2026