Analyst Ratings January 27, 2026

Goldman Sachs Starts Coverage on Versant Media Group at Neutral, Flags Pay-TV Headwinds

Bank sets $34 target as market weighs declines in traditional cable against digital growth initiatives

By Ajmal Hussain CMCSA
Goldman Sachs Starts Coverage on Versant Media Group at Neutral, Flags Pay-TV Headwinds
CMCSA

Goldman Sachs has opened coverage of Versant Media Group (NASDAQ: VSNT) with a Neutral rating and a $34 price target, mirroring a Fair Value view and coming as the newly independent media company navigates falling pay-TV revenues and investments in digital marketplaces and FAST channels. The stock is trading near the bank's target, while analysts diverge on outlook and valuation metrics point to investor caution.

Key Points

  • Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of Versant Media Group with a Neutral rating and a $34 price target, aligning with InvestingPro's Fair Value estimate.
  • Versant's 2024 revenue mix was heavily weighted toward basic cable networks (83%), while digital assets like GolfNow and Fandango are the expected growth drivers.
  • Analysts flag secular pay-TV declines as a material headwind - Goldman projects a 2025-2030 revenue CAGR of -2% and an EBITDA CAGR of -12% - even as Versant expands FAST channels and subscription offerings.

Summary: Goldman Sachs initiated coverage of Versant Media Group with a Neutral rating and a $34.00 price target, closely aligning with InvestingPro's Fair Value estimate. The shares are trading at $33.09, down more than 26% year-to-date. Versant, spun off from Comcast on January 5, 2026, combines legacy basic cable networks with a set of growing digital platforms as it establishes itself as an independent company.

Business mix and balance sheet: Versant operates a portfolio where established basic cable networks - including CNBC and USA Network - made up 83% of 2024 revenue. The company also owns digital properties such as GolfNow and Fandango. Versant carries a market capitalization of $4.82 billion and shows solid near-term liquidity with a current ratio of 2.18, signaling that its liquid assets exceed short-term liabilities.

Analyst forecasts and valuation: Goldman Sachs expects the company to face a 2025-2030 revenue compound annual growth rate of -2% and an EBITDA CAGR of -12%, driven mainly by secular declines in pay-TV viewership. The bank sees digital platforms as the lone growth area, forecasting roughly 10% annual growth for those businesses over the same period. Market multiples cited by InvestingPro underline investor skepticism: an EV/EBITDA of 1.82 and a Price/Book of 0.47.

Digital strategy and execution risks: Goldman Sachs characterizes Versant's digital approach as a hybrid of consumer marketplaces and vertical software platforms. The bank notes limitations to long-term growth visibility for these assets because they rely heavily on transactional revenue and face difficult market dynamics, particularly in movie ticketing. The company is pursuing subscription initiatives such as Fandango FanClub and GolfPass and expanding into Free Ad-Supported TV - or FAST - with channels like Fandango at Home.

FAST and content distribution moves: Versant has completed the acquisition of Free TV Networks, broadening its footprint in free over-the-air digital broadcast and ad-supported streaming channels. Goldman Sachs cautions that the FAST space is crowded and frequently loss-making, a dynamic that could temper the pace at which these investments translate into durable profitability.

Other analyst views: Coverage from other firms is mixed. Wolfe Research initiated coverage with an Outperform rating and a $52.00 price target, citing low leverage and predictable cash flows as supporting factors. Raymond James assigned a Market Perform rating, highlighting concern about the company's continued dependence on a declining pay-TV business.

Market context and stock performance: Since the spin-off from Comcast, Versant has operated independently across four core markets described by the company. The stock is trading close to Goldman Sachs' target after a year-to-date decline of more than 26%.


Key takeaways:

  • Goldman Sachs starts coverage at Neutral with a $34 target, in line with a Fair Value assessment.
  • Versant's revenue mix remains dominated by basic cable networks, which accounted for 83% of 2024 revenue, while digital platforms are expected to be the primary growth engine.
  • Valuation metrics - EV/EBITDA of 1.82 and Price/Book of 0.47 - reflect investor concerns about near-term declines.

Impacted sectors: Media, cable pay-TV, digital streaming and online ticketing/marketplaces are directly implicated by the company's strategic position and the analysts' forecasts.

Risks

  • Ongoing secular declines in pay-TV viewership could continue to pressure revenue and EBITDA, affecting the cable and broader media sectors.
  • Versant's digital platforms depend significantly on transactional revenue and face limited long-term growth visibility, with particular sensitivity in movie ticketing markets.
  • Competition and the frequent unprofitability of the FAST channel landscape present execution risk for ad-supported streaming initiatives.

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