Analyst Ratings February 4, 2026

DA Davidson Affirms Buy on Jack Henry, Sets $216 Price Target After Q2 Beat

Firm points to solid revenue growth and upgraded guidance as reasons to maintain Buy recommendation

By Priya Menon JKHY
DA Davidson Affirms Buy on Jack Henry, Sets $216 Price Target After Q2 Beat
JKHY

DA Davidson has reiterated a Buy rating on Jack Henry (NASDAQ: JKHY) and set a $216.00 price target after the company reported fiscal second-quarter results that outperformed expectations. The firm’s target implies meaningful upside from the current share price, amid analyst target estimates that span from $168 to $220. Management also raised portions of its fiscal 2026 guidance, driven in part by higher-than-expected one-time deconversion fees recorded in the quarter.

Key Points

  • DA Davidson maintained a Buy rating on Jack Henry with a $216 price target, suggesting meaningful upside from the $166.16 share price.
  • GAAP revenue rose 8% year-over-year to $619.0 million for the fiscal second quarter, beating DA Davidson’s forecast by $6 million and consensus by about 2%.
  • Management raised fiscal 2026 GAAP revenue and operating income guidance and increased the expected full-year deconversion fee revenue to $28.0 million from $20.0 million.

DA Davidson has kept a Buy designation on Jack Henry with a $216.00 price objective following the financial technology firm’s fiscal second-quarter performance, which topped analyst forecasts. According to available analyst data, the $216 target implies notable upside relative to the prevailing share price of $166.16, while analyst targets across the market run from $168 to $220. A Fair Value assessment indicates the company currently appears undervalued.

For the fiscal second quarter ended in December, Jack Henry reported GAAP revenue of $619.0 million, an 8% increase year-over-year. That total exceeded DA Davidson’s projection by $6 million, or roughly 1%, and came in about 2% above consensus estimates. The company’s revenue performance is consistent with its 7.74% revenue expansion over the trailing twelve months, accompanied by a 23% return on equity.

One item that affected the quarter was deconversion fee revenue. Jack Henry recognized $6.2 million in deconversion (one-time contract termination) fees during the fiscal second quarter, versus $0.1 million in the year-ago period, as disclosed in a recent Form 8-K filing. Excluding these one-time fees from both periods, the company’s Non-GAAP revenue rose 7% year-over-year to $611 million, which also topped DA Davidson’s forecast by about 1%.

Following the quarter, Jack Henry’s management adjusted their initial fiscal 2026 outlook. They increased their GAAP revenue forecast by 1% and raised GAAP operating income guidance by 2%. Management also lifted their full-year projection for deconversion fee revenue to $28.0 million from a prior estimate of $20.0 million.

The company’s reported operating results further beat street expectations. Jack Henry posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.72 for the quarter, well above the analyst consensus of $1.42. Revenue for the period was reported at $619.33 million, exceeding estimates of $609.1 million and representing a 7.9% year-over-year rise. These figures reflect expansion across the company’s principal revenue streams for the financial technology provider.

DA Davidson’s reiterated Buy rating and $216 target reflect the firm’s view of upside tied to the company’s revenue and earnings momentum, as well as the recent upward tweaks to full-year guidance. Analyst target estimates and the Fair Value assessment cited indicate varying market expectations, with some analysts placing their price objectives as low as $168 and others as high as $220.


Key takeaways

  • Jack Henry reported GAAP revenue of $619.0 million for the fiscal second quarter - an 8% year-over-year increase and $6 million above DA Davidson’s forecast.
  • One-time deconversion fees of $6.2 million materially impacted reported revenue; excluding those fees, Non-GAAP revenue grew 7% to $611 million.
  • Management tightened fiscal 2026 guidance, raising GAAP revenue and operating income forecasts and increasing expected deconversion fee revenue to $28.0 million.

Sectors affected: Financial technology, banking services, and enterprise software.


Risks and uncertainties

  • Reliance on one-time deconversion fees - The quarter included $6.2 million of deconversion revenue, up from $0.1 million a year earlier, which introduces uncertainty about how much of the recent revenue beat reflects recurring business versus one-time items. This affects the financial technology and banking-services sectors.
  • Analyst target dispersion - Analyst price targets range from $168 to $220, reflecting varying expectations about the company’s outlook and valuation; such dispersion signals continued market uncertainty in software and fintech valuations.
  • Guidance sensitivity to deconversion estimates - Management increased the full-year deconversion fee forecast to $28.0 million from $20.0 million, meaning results depend in part on how accurately these one-time items materialize over the remainder of the fiscal year.

Risks

  • The quarter included $6.2 million in one-time deconversion fees versus $0.1 million a year ago, creating uncertainty around the sustainability of the revenue beat.
  • Analyst price targets vary widely from $168 to $220, indicating differing views on valuation and future performance.
  • The company’s revised guidance depends in part on higher deconversion fee estimates, which are inherently uncertain and could affect reported results.

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