Analyst Ratings February 5, 2026

Citizens Upholds Market Outperform on Alphabet, Citing AI-Led Growth Potential

Analyst keeps $385 price target as AI, Gemini adoption and cloud momentum are flagged as key drivers — but modelers stop short of folding in an acceleration

By Ajmal Hussain GOOGL
Citizens Upholds Market Outperform on Alphabet, Citing AI-Led Growth Potential
GOOGL

Citizens has reaffirmed its Market Outperform rating on Alphabet (GOOGL) and maintained a $385.00 price target. Analyst Andrew Boone points to artificial intelligence as a catalyst across search, cloud and advertising, while noting growing adoption of Gemini models. Despite this bullish stance, Citizens has not baked potential acceleration into its present financial models. Alphabet's cloud reported 48% year-over-year growth, and management projects a material rise in capital expenditures for FY26.

Key Points

  • Citizens reaffirmed Market Outperform on Alphabet with a $385.00 price target while the stock trades near $333.04; analyst targets range from $185 to $432.
  • Citizens cites AI — including growing Gemini adoption and improving models — as expanding Search TAM, driving cloud usage, and improving advertiser performance, suggesting a long runway for revenue growth.
  • Alphabet’s Cloud grew 48% year-over-year, beating a 36% estimate and accelerating from 34% in the prior quarter; FY26 capital expenditures are projected at $175-185 billion versus $91 billion in FY25.

Citizens kept its Market Outperform designation on Alphabet Inc. and preserved a $385.00 target for the stock, which trades around $333.04. According to InvestingPro data, analyst price targets for Alphabet span a wide range from $185 to $432, reflecting diverse views among market participants.

Analyst rationale

Andrew Boone, the analyst at Citizens, reiterated the positive rating and emphasized artificial intelligence as the key factor enhancing multiple parts of Google’s business. Citizens argues that AI is expanding the total addressable market for Search, encouraging higher adoption of cloud services and improving advertiser outcomes through better performance metrics.

Within that framework, Citizens highlighted accelerating adoption of Gemini and ongoing model improvements. The research firm describes these developments as indicating a "long runway for revenue growth," suggesting that both Search and Cloud services could see renewed acceleration in revenue generation.

Models vs. potential acceleration

Notably, Citizens has not incorporated the possibility of accelerated growth driven by AI and Gemini into its current financial projections, even while maintaining a bullish outlook for Alphabet’s shares. That conservatism means the firm’s stated target and projections do not reflect any upside that could emerge if Search and Cloud growth re-accelerate faster than currently modeled.

Recent operational and market developments

Alphabet’s cloud business recently posted a 48% year-over-year growth rate, which surpassed Jefferies’ 36% estimate and accelerated from the prior quarter’s 34% growth. Management has also signaled a substantial increase in capital spending, forecasting FY26 capital expenditures in the range of $175-185 billion versus $91 billion in FY25.

In the analyst community, Bernstein raised its price target on Alphabet to $335, citing the company’s leadership in AI and noting that this positioning appeals to investors concerned about an AI bubble.

Related corporate and industry news

Beyond the ratings and financial metrics, Google, a unit of Alphabet, has taken legal action against the Chinese company Ipidea, a move that effectively halted Ipidea’s operations over alleged concerns about cyber weapons. In separate industry movement, Microsoft announced an executive change in its security organization: Hayete Gallot, formerly of Google’s cloud unit, will replace Charlie Bell as security chief. Bell will move into a role focused on engineering quality while still reporting to CEO Satya Nadella.

Outside the large-cap cloud and internet space, Aletheia Capital initiated coverage of Teradyne with a Buy rating and a $400 price target, forecasting that Teradyne’s earnings could triple between 2025 and 2027 as testing demand and new customer wins accelerate.


This report presents the key analyst view, supporting data, and related market moves that frame Citizens’ continued Market Outperform call on Alphabet.

Risks

  • Citizens has not incorporated potential acceleration from AI-driven Search and Cloud growth into its current financial models, leaving a mismatch between modeled outcomes and possible upside or changing expectations - impacts Internet services and cloud markets.
  • Legal and geopolitical actions, such as Google’s lawsuit that led to the shutdown of Ipidea, represent operational and reputational risks which can affect corporate risk profiles for internet platforms.
  • Investor sensitivity to AI valuation narratives, noted in Bernstein’s commentary about appeal to those wary of an AI bubble, creates uncertainty for market sentiment in technology and AI-exposed sectors.

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