Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

BofA Securities Boosts United Airlines Price Target Citing Strong Demand and Upbeat Earnings

Robust Premium Revenue and Upward Earnings Revisions Support Elevated Valuation Outlook for United Airlines

By Avery Klein UAL
BofA Securities Boosts United Airlines Price Target Citing Strong Demand and Upbeat Earnings
UAL

BofA Securities has lifted its price target for United Airlines to $145 from $130 following the airline's strong fourth-quarter 2025 earnings and promising demand trends. Despite conservative guidance in a volatile industry environment, the airline's financial performance has prompted multiple analysts to revise earnings estimates upward, signaling confidence in the company's near-term prospects.

Key Points

  • BofA Securities raised United Airlines’ price target to $145 from $130, maintaining a Buy rating based on strong Q4 2025 financial performance.
  • Analysts have lifted earnings per share estimates for United in early 2026, with BofA revising quarterly and full-year EPS figures upward.
  • The airline’s free cash flow expectations for 2026 increased significantly from prior projections, contributing to the boosted valuation, alongside early 2026 demand growth despite cautious guidance.
  • Positive earnings surprises and revenue growth exceeding analyst estimates have encouraged multiple investment firms to increase their price targets on United Airlines.

Bank of America Securities (BofA Securities) increased its price target for United Airlines (NASDAQ: UAL) to $145.00 from a previous $130.00 this past Friday, while reaffirming a Buy rating on the stock. United Airlines shares were last valued at approximately $110.40 and exhibit a price-to-earnings ratio near 10.88, an indicator that valuation might appear stretched based on InvestingPro's analysis.

This upward adjustment in the price target closely follows United’s fourth-quarter 2025 financial report, which BofA notes shares considerable similarities with the recent earnings release from Delta Air Lines. Key highlights include solid premium revenue performance, improving demand outlooks, and a conservative financial guidance approach. United posted revenue totaling $59.07 billion over the trailing twelve months, aligning well with six analysts who have recently raised their earnings projections for the airline's upcoming reporting period, according to InvestingPro data.

BofA Securities revised its earnings per share (EPS) estimate for United Airlines' first quarter of 2026 to $1.30 from $1.08, slightly surpassing United's own midpoint guidance of $1.25. Additionally, the full-year 2026 EPS forecast was increased modestly to $13.25 from $13.08.

The firm attributed a significant rise in United Airlines' expected 2026 free cash flow from $1.5 billion previously to $2.7 billion, which primarily influenced the elevated price target. The airline has experienced promising demand early in 2026 though it continues to provide cautious guidance reflecting the industry's volatility observed in prior periods.

Additional context from United's fourth-quarter 2025 results shows earnings per share at $3.19, outperforming analysts’ estimates of $2.96, and revenues reaching $15.4 billion, surpassing expectations. These results have led various investment firms to adjust their price targets: UBS elevated its target to $147 citing strong quarterly results and positive alignment with 2026 guidance; BMO Capital increased its target to $132.50 highlighting growth across business segments; TD Cowen raised its target to $140 referencing encouraging early demand indicators; and Goldman Sachs lifted its price target to $135 attributing confidence to better-than-anticipated earnings and favorable first-quarter forecast.

Collectively, these adjustments reflect a broadly optimistic analyst stance toward United Airlines’ near-term financial trajectory and overall market positioning within the airline sector.

Risks

  • United Airlines continues to provide conservative guidance due to previous industry volatility, indicating ongoing uncertainty in market demand and operational conditions.
  • Valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio suggest the stock may be overvalued, which could pose challenges if earnings growth expectations are not met.
  • Dependency on strong premium revenue and sustained demand improvement subjects United to macroeconomic and consumer spending fluctuations impacting the airline sector.

More from Analyst Ratings

KeyBanc Keeps Cautious View on LyondellBasell After Difficult Quarter, Cites Cash-Flow Limits vs. Dividend Feb 2, 2026 KeyBanc Sticks with Overweight on Murphy USA, Sees Near-Term Upside as Fuel Margins Improve Feb 2, 2026 KeyBanc Stands by Overweight Call on AppFolio, Flags ARPU and Product Drivers for 2026 Feb 2, 2026 KeyBanc Sticks With Overweight on Eastman; $74 Target Reflects Modest Upside Feb 2, 2026 Bernstein Boosts SanDisk Price Target to $1,000 After Robust Q2; Peers Follow Suit Feb 2, 2026