Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

BofA Lowers PSEG Price Target to $84, Retains Buy Rating Amid Regulatory Premium Cuts

Analyst trims electric and gas premiums and nudges 2025 EPS estimate lower while other firms issue mixed guidance as company updates leadership

By Priya Menon PEG
BofA Lowers PSEG Price Target to $84, Retains Buy Rating Amid Regulatory Premium Cuts
PEG

BofA Securities reduced its price target for Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (PEG) to $84.00 from $95.00 but kept a Buy rating, citing regulatory pressure that prompted the removal of an electric premium and a reduction of the gas premium to 10%. The bank slightly lowered its full-year 2025 EPS forecast to $4.05 and expects fourth-quarter 2025 EPS of $0.72, while other analysts have issued a range of views and the company has reported recent earnings and leadership changes.

Key Points

  • BofA cut its price target on PSEG to $84.00 from $95.00 but maintained a Buy rating.
  • BofA reduced its full-year 2025 EPS estimate slightly to $4.05 and expects Q4 2025 EPS of $0.72, below Q4 2024’s $0.84.
  • Other analysts issued mixed actions: Wells Fargo upgraded to Overweight ($92 target), Jefferies upgraded to Buy ($90 target), and BMO Capital lowered its target to $83 while keeping Market Perform.

Price target change and rating

BofA Securities has cut its price target on Public Service Enterprise Group Inc. (PEG) to $84.00 from $95.00 while leaving its Buy rating intact. The firm said the revision reflects adjustments to valuation premiums tied to the company’s regulated businesses.


Current market picture

PSEG shares are trading at $78.51, near a 52-week low of $74.67, and the stock carries a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.8.


Analyst estimates and near-term earnings outlook

BofA analyst Julien Dumoulin-Smith expects PSEG to report fourth-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $0.72. That projection aligns with consensus estimates but would be below the $0.84 EPS the company reported in the fourth quarter of 2024.

The bank also trimmed its full-year 2025 EPS forecast modestly to $4.05 from $4.06. That revised figure remains slightly above the consensus estimate of $4.04 and is higher than the prior year’s EPS of $3.68.


Rationale for the price target reduction

BofA said the new price target follows its decision to remove the electric premium and to lower the gas premium to 10%. The firm attributed those moves to the "regulatory overhang presented by the recent EOs." BofA reiterated its Buy rating on the stock despite the target cut.


Other analyst actions and company developments

Outside of BofA, analysts and research firms have taken a range of positions on PSEG. Wells Fargo upgraded the stock from Equal Weight to Overweight and set a $92.00 price target. Jefferies upgraded PSEG to Buy and adjusted its target to $90.00. By contrast, BMO Capital lowered its price target to $83.00 while keeping a Market Perform rating.

According to InvestingPro, analysts’ price targets for PSEG span from $73 to $101, and the firm is expected to remain profitable this year based on available estimates.


Recent operating and leadership items

PSEG reported third-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $1.13, exceeding BMO Capital’s estimate of $1.01 and the consensus estimate of $1.02. The company has also seen board and management changes: Geisha J. Williams will join PSEG’s Board of Directors, and Scott Jennings has been named president and chief operating officer of PSEG Long Island following a contract extension with the Long Island Power Authority.


Market context and outlook

The mix of a lower price target from one prominent bank, upgrades from other firms, recent quarterly results that beat expectations, and leadership changes together create a period of active analyst attention and strategic transition for PSEG. The range of analyst price targets and differing ratings underscore divergent views of the company’s near-term outlook amid regulatory developments affecting valuation premiums.

Risks

  • Regulatory overhang tied to recent executive orders has led BofA to remove the electric premium and lower the gas premium to 10% - a development that affects utility valuation assumptions.
  • Divergent analyst price targets and ratings indicate uncertainty among investors and analysts about PSEG’s near-term outlook and valuation - impacting investor sentiment in the utilities sector.
  • Near-term earnings are expected to be lower on a year-over-year basis for Q4 2025 versus Q4 2024, introducing execution and revenue risks for the company’s financial performance.

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