Analyst Ratings January 28, 2026

BMO Sticks With Outperform on Sysco, Citing Strength in Local Case Volumes and Stable Execution

Analyst keeps $90 target as multiple firms raise price projections after better-than-expected quarter and improving U.S. local case growth

By Leila Farooq SYY
BMO Sticks With Outperform on Sysco, Citing Strength in Local Case Volumes and Stable Execution
SYY

BMO Capital reaffirmed an Outperform rating and a $90 price target on Sysco, highlighting sequential gains in local case growth and manageable second-half expectations. The food distribution giant’s shares are trading above prior 52-week levels, and several other brokerages have lifted price targets following solid quarterly results and improving local case volumes.

Key Points

  • BMO Capital reaffirms Outperform rating and keeps $90 price target on Sysco, citing sequential improvement in local case growth.
  • BMO updated its model to include recent tuck-in acquisitions and slightly raised its fiscal 2026 EPS estimate to $4.57 while leaving fiscal 2027 unchanged.
  • Multiple brokerages - UBS, Piper Sandler, Bernstein, and Guggenheim - raised price targets after Sysco’s quarterly performance and improved local case volumes.

BMO Capital on Wednesday maintained its Outperform rating on Sysco (NYSE:SYY) and kept its $90.00 price target, pointing to encouraging sequential improvement in local case growth across the company’s markets. The stock is trading at $84.67, up 14.72% year-to-date, and has recently moved above a previous 52-week high of $83.96.

In its assessment, BMO highlighted momentum in local markets as a key underpinning of its view that Sysco can return to algorithm-type EPS growth by fiscal 2027. The research firm noted that consensus forecasts for fiscal 2026 EPS sit at $4.59 per share according to InvestingPro data, marginally higher than BMO’s own fiscal 2026 estimate of $4.57.

BMO described second-half expectations as manageable and cited a number of supporting factors: a fully stabilized sales force retention profile, sustained strength in international operations, new business wins at national accounts, deployment of AI tools, and opportunities associated with the Sysco Brand. The firm said it updated its financial model to incorporate recent tuck-in acquisitions, and made only modest adjustments to its second-half forecasts as a result.

Following the model updates, BMO slightly raised its fiscal 2026 EPS estimate to $4.57 while leaving its fiscal 2027 EPS forecast unchanged. The firm reiterated the $90 price target, signaling continued confidence in the company’s growth trajectory even after incorporating the recent deal activity into its model.

Sysco’s second-quarter results have also prompted revisions from several other analysts. UBS moved its price target to $95, citing strong quarterly results and a 140 basis-point improvement in U.S. local case volumes to 1.2%. Piper Sandler adjusted its price target to $83 and pointed to positive U.S. Foodservice case growth of 0.8%, which it said was in line with expectations. Bernstein lifted its price target to $90, referencing stronger-than-expected top-line performance and the 1.2% local case volume growth figure. Guggenheim, while maintaining a Buy rating, increased its price target to $91.

Those upward adjustments from multiple brokerages reflect the market’s reception to Sysco’s recent operational trends and the degree of analyst confidence in the company’s near-term trajectory. The firm-level notes emphasized local case volume improvements and top-line resilience as central drivers behind the revised valuations and continued favorable coverage.


How the market is reacting

The stock’s move above its previous 52-week high and year-to-date gain are consistent with the analyst commentary that has followed the company’s quarterly release. Analysts’ price-target lifts and BMO’s maintained Outperform suggest a generally constructive view among coverage houses, based on the metrics cited in their research notes.

What remains clear from the published notes is that incremental local case growth, stabilized sales force metrics, international strength, and targeted acquisition activity are the specific areas analysts point to when assessing Sysco’s ability to return to more predictable EPS expansion in the coming years.

Risks

  • Second-half performance risk - BMO describes second-half expectations as manageable, but outcomes could diverge, affecting fiscal results and investor sentiment. (Impacted sectors: Foodservice, Distribution)
  • Reliance on sales force retention and new business wins - continued stabilization of the sales force and success in winning national accounts are cited as supports, implying risk if these areas weaken. (Impacted sectors: Sales-driven Distribution, Foodservice)
  • Integration of tuck-in acquisitions - BMO incorporated recent small acquisitions into its model with only minor adjustments; integration execution could present uncertainties that affect near-term forecasts. (Impacted sectors: Corporate M&A, Distribution)

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