Analyst Ratings January 29, 2026

BMO Capital Opens Coverage on Elevra Lithium, Assigns Outperform and A$12.50 Target

Analyst cites strengthened balance sheet and simplified ownership of North American Lithium after Sayona-Piedmont merger; company posts record quarterly revenue amid operational headwinds

By Marcus Reed ELVR
BMO Capital Opens Coverage on Elevra Lithium, Assigns Outperform and A$12.50 Target
ELVR

BMO Capital has begun coverage of Elevra Lithium (NASDAQ:ELVR), giving the stock an Outperform rating and setting a price target of A$12.50. The firm highlighted Elevra's enhanced standing as a North American lithium producer following the Sayona-Piedmont merger, the removal of a restrictive offtake agreement, and an improved balance sheet. Separately, Elevra reported record quarterly revenue of $66 million for Q2 FY2026 while revising production guidance due to ongoing operational challenges.

Key Points

  • BMO Capital initiated coverage on Elevra Lithium with an Outperform rating and a price target of A$12.50; impacts equity investors and capital markets.
  • Analyst Raj Ray cited the Sayona-Piedmont merger as simplifying ownership of the North American Lithium (NAL) asset and eliminating a restrictive offtake agreement; this affects corporate structure and financing.
  • Elevra reported record quarterly revenue of $66 million for Q2 FY2026 despite operational challenges and revised its production guidance, which has implications for mining and commodities markets.

BMO Capital has initiated research coverage on Elevra Lithium (NASDAQ:ELVR), assigning an Outperform rating and attaching a price objective of A$12.50. The brokerage cited the company's newly consolidated position in North America following the merger that combined Sayona and Piedmont Lithium into a single entity.

In its note, BMO Capital highlighted that the merger streamlined and consolidated ownership of the North American Lithium (NAL) asset. Analyst Raj Ray pointed to the transaction as having removed a previously restrictive offtake agreement and as having strengthened Elevra's balance sheet, according to the research commentary.

Beyond corporate structure and financing, BMO Capital said Elevra provides investors with leverage to a potential rebound in lithium prices and represents meaningful growth optionality for the company. The firm framed the stock as positioned to benefit if lithium markets recover.

Separately, Elevra reported strong operating results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, posting a record quarterly revenue figure of $66 million. The company achieved noteworthy revenue growth despite encountering operational challenges during the period.

Those operational issues prompted Elevra to revise its production guidance for the fiscal year, a move the company described as reflecting ongoing difficulties in its mining operations. Taken together, the revenue gains and the guidance revision paint a picture of a business that is generating higher top-line results even as it contends with production and operational constraints.

The BMO Capital initiation emphasizes the corporate and financial changes tied to the Sayona-Piedmont merger, while the company-issued quarterly results underline both the revenue momentum and the operational hurdles Elevra is managing. Investors and market participants will likely be watching both lithium price movements and the company's operational progress to assess how those factors affect future performance.

Risks

  • Operational challenges in mining operations - ongoing difficulties led Elevra to revise its production guidance, affecting production forecasts and mining sector performance.
  • Lithium price volatility - BMO Capital’s thesis depends on a further rebound in lithium prices, introducing commodity-price risk for investors and market exposure.
  • Execution uncertainty following merger consolidation - while ownership of the NAL asset was simplified, integration and post-merger execution risks remain inherent to the company’s near-term outlook.

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