Analyst Ratings January 26, 2026

Bernstein Trims Grab Price Target Citing Near-Term Margin Pressure from Growth Push

Analyst keeps Outperform rating while forecasting temporary earnings drag as Grab invests to expand its addressable market

By Sofia Navarro GRAB
Bernstein Trims Grab Price Target Citing Near-Term Margin Pressure from Growth Push
GRAB

Bernstein reduced its price target for Grab Holdings Inc. to $5.80 from $6.60 while retaining an Outperform rating, reflecting expected margin pressure as the Southeast Asian technology group invests to broaden its total addressable market. The firm trimmed calendar year 2025-2026 net income forecasts by 2-5.6% to account for the near-term effect of these initiatives but anticipates payback after a few years. Other analysts have recently adjusted their views higher amid strong quarterly results and strategic board changes.

Key Points

  • Bernstein reduced its price target on Grab to $5.80 from $6.60 but maintained an Outperform rating; Grab trades at $4.59 with analyst targets ranging $5.60 to $8.00 - impacts technology and capital markets.
  • Bernstein lowered calendar 2025-2026 net income estimates by 2-5.6% to account for short-term margin pressure from expansion efforts; analysts still forecast ~22% revenue growth for fiscal 2025 - impacts fintech, deliveries, and mobility sectors.
  • Following strong third-quarter 2025 results, several firms raised targets and ratings, including Benchmark (PT to $7.00) and BofA Securities (upgrade to Buy); corporate governance changes also occurred with a board appointment and a retirement - impacts investor sentiment and corporate governance scrutiny.

Bernstein analyst Venugopal Garre has lowered the price target on Grab Holdings Inc. to $5.80 from $6.60 but left the stock with an Outperform rating. Market data show Grab is trading at $4.59, and analyst targets across the street run from $5.60 to $8.00.

The revision reflects expectations for compressed margins as the Southeast Asian technology company channels capital into growth initiatives designed to expand its total addressable market. Bernstein reduced its calendar year 2025-2026 net income estimates by between 2% and 5.6% to incorporate the near-term earnings impact of these investments. The firm nevertheless expressed the view that these initiatives should deliver incremental value after a couple of years.

Performance metrics underline the company’s recent top-line momentum. According to available data, Grab posted 20.18% revenue growth over the last twelve months, and analysts project roughly 22% revenue growth for fiscal year 2025. At the same time, valuation metrics show a mixed picture: Grab’s trailing price-to-earnings ratio sits at a high 302, while its PEG ratio of 0.84 indicates a valuation that may be more defensible when adjusted for expected growth.

Bernstein identified several strategic execution areas it believes would strengthen Grab’s returns from current investments. The analyst urged the company to accelerate its roll-out in on-demand grocery, deepen partnerships to advance autonomous vehicle deployment, incorporate Agentic AI to enhance food-delivery operations, and take a more assertive approach toward fintech expansion. Where ongoing investments produce limited synergies, Bernstein suggested Grab consider monetizing prior stakes via partnerships or strategic exits.

Recent third-quarter 2025 results bolstered some market views. Grab beat consensus on both revenue and earnings and exceeded key growth benchmarks for the quarter. That performance prompted Benchmark to lift its price target from $6.00 to $7.00 while maintaining a Buy rating. Separately, Bernstein SocGen Group raised its price target to $6.60 from $5.60, citing steady earnings and the company’s strong market position. BofA Securities moved its rating from Neutral to Buy, calling attention to the company’s solid fundamentals despite recent underperformance.

Benchmark reiterated its Buy stance and highlighted a constructive outlook for fiscal year 2026, particularly in the Deliveries and Mobility segments. In parallel with these analyst updates, Grab adjusted its board composition: Laura Franco was appointed as an independent director and Ng Shin Ein retired from the board.


The sequence of analyst changes, earnings beats, and governance moves illustrates the market debate around investing for faster growth versus protecting near-term margins. Bernstein’s downgrade of the price target reflects a conservative stance on near-term profitability while still recognizing the potential upside if the company’s strategic pushes achieve the expected scale and synergy benefits over time.

Risks

  • Near-term margin compression as Grab invests to expand its total addressable market could weigh on profitability and earnings in 2025-2026 - affects technology and fintech investors.
  • Limited synergies in certain business areas could force Grab to monetize past investments through partnerships or strategic exits, which may alter long-term growth trajectories - impacts delivery, mobility, and fintech sectors.
  • High trailing P/E of 302 signals valuation sensitivity to earnings volatility, even with a PEG of 0.84 that accounts for growth expectations - relevant to equity markets and valuation-driven investors.

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