Analyst Ratings January 23, 2026

Benchmark Elevates Hub Group Price Target to $50 Reflecting 2027 Earnings Prospects

Analysts anticipate steady long-term earnings despite near-term volume and margin pressures in transportation and logistics sectors

By Leila Farooq HUBG
Benchmark Elevates Hub Group Price Target to $50 Reflecting 2027 Earnings Prospects
HUBG

Benchmark has increased its price target for Hub Group from $40 to $50, maintaining a Buy stance. The adjustment centers on a five-year earnings valuation outlook, signaling confidence in Hub Group's long-term profitability amidst current market headwinds such as slowing intermodal volumes and margin compression in brokerage operations. Other firms like Stifel and Evercore ISI have similarly upgraded targets and ratings, highlighting expected earnings growth in 2026 and 2027. Meanwhile, the freight and logistics markets face uncertainties from weaker volume trends and rising transportation costs.

Key Points

  • Benchmark raised Hub Group’s price target to $50 based on a 2027 earnings valuation, maintaining a Buy rating despite some negative near-term indicators.
  • Intermodal volumes on the West Coast have declined year-over-year since August, with international containers particularly impacted, tempering revenue growth expectations.
  • Brokerage segment margins under pressure due to higher transportation costs, though Hub Group retains a solid liquidity position, underscoring financial stability.

Benchmark recently revised upward its price projection for Hub Group, a key player in transportation management, setting the new target at $50, up from the previous $40 mark. This adjustment accompanies the firm's continued Buy rating on Hub Group's stock, currently valued at around $48.27 per share. The stock is trading just below its 52-week peak of $48.89, although investing analytics suggest it may currently be overvalued relative to its Fair Value assessment.

The increased target reflects Benchmark's strategic shift to evaluating Hub Group's performance with a 2027 earnings perspective. Despite the presence of near-term challenges, the analyst team forecasts improved earnings potential over the longer term. Benchmark's analyst, Christopher Kuhn, indicated that Hub Group’s recent performance during peak periods was less robust compared to competitor J.B. Hunt, implying a potential loss in incremental market share. Hub Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.74, and notably, ten analysts have recently lowered their earnings projections for the company’s forthcoming reporting period.

On the volume front, West Coast import figures have displayed a downtrend year-over-year since August, following a strong performance earlier in the year. This trend includes a shift to negative intermodal volumes after moderate growth through August. The decline predominantly affects international container units, while domestic container volumes have remained comparatively stable year over year.

Benchmark anticipates a continued deceleration in intermodal volume growth into the next quarter, mirroring the third quarter's pattern. Revenue gains per intermodal load are expected to be modest due to largely stable pricing, though some slight improvement in revenue per load is possible.

Within Hub Group's Logistics division, margins have generally remained resilient; however, Benchmark flags potential margin pressure within the brokerage segment, which accounts for roughly 36% of the division’s revenue. This pressure stems from increased purchased transportation costs during the current quarter, adversely impacting gross margins. Supporting this concern, investing data highlights Hub Group’s relatively weak gross profit margin baseline of 11.38%. Nonetheless, the company sustains a strong liquidity position, with current assets exceeding short-term liabilities.

Additional analyst activity includes Stifel raising its Hub Group price target to $52 and affirming a Buy recommendation, citing the company’s strong position as a leading intermodal service provider. Evercore ISI upgraded its rating on Hub Group from In Line to Outperform, raising the price target to $53. This upgrade hinges on anticipated earnings enhancements for 2026 and 2027, with Stifel also identifying Hub Group as one of its top picks in transportation amid signs of a possible freight market bottom.

Separately, GrowHub Ltd faces Nasdaq compliance concerns after shares traded below $1.00 for an extended period. The company has until June 1, 2026, to remedy this to avoid delisting. GrowHub has also undergone recent leadership changes, with its CFO stepping down due to personal reasons and two new board directors appointed amidst ongoing operational difficulties.

Risks

  • Downward revisions by multiple analysts suggest earnings uncertainty, particularly over the short term.
  • Weakening import volumes and slowing intermodal trends could suppress near-term revenue and market share.
  • Rising purchased transportation costs threaten brokerage segment margins, which may impact overall profitability.

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